2 census tracts · pop 11,131 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10
· range 3–3
Johnson Ranch takes in 2 census tracts of San Tan Valley, AZ and houses 11,131 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3/10, placing it in the Lower tier. Cost burden runs 46% against 28.2% citywide, putting Johnson Ranch 17.5% over its own city.
The severe-burden share is 31%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.3/10. Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.6/10.
That places it #5 of 8 neighborhoods in San Tan Valley. At 18% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.
For a like-for-like read, Castlegate and Pecan Creek South score within a fraction of it. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Its 2 tracts score within 0 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.
Average gross rent runs $1,994, close to the San Tan Valley average. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $98,013.
The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
3
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Johnson Ranch vs San Tan ValleyHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority51%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport10%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Johnson Ranch
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
10.5%Housing insecurity
6.9%Utility shutoff threat
12.2%Food insecurity
7.1%SNAP enrollment
9.5%No health insurance
26.7%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Johnson Ranch
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Johnson Ranch?
Johnson Ranch scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Johnson Ranch compare to San Tan Valley overall?
Johnson Ranch scores 0.6 points lower than San Tan Valley overall (3.6/10). Renters spend 46% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $1,994 vs $2,085.
Q3
What is the average rent in Johnson Ranch?
Average gross rent in Johnson Ranch is $1,994/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Johnson Ranch residents are renters?
18% of Johnson Ranch households are renter-occupied (vs 18% in San Tan Valley). The neighborhood has 11,131 residents.
Q5
Is Johnson Ranch a high social-vulnerability area?
Johnson Ranch sits in the 11th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Johnson Ranch have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Johnson Ranch is census tract 04021000226 (score 3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3, a spread of 0 points.
Q7
How safe is Johnson Ranch for landlords?
Johnson Ranch carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Tan Valley as a whole (3.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Johnson Ranch?
Johnson Ranch has 11,366 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (67.5%), Hispanic / Latino (27.1%), Other / Multiracial (3.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
