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Neighborhood · San Tan Valley, AZ

Johnson Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 11,131 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2/10 · range 1.9–2.1

Johnson Ranch is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in San Tan Valley with 2 census tracts and a population of 11,131 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 46% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 31% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,994/month sits 4% lower than the San Tan Valley citywide average ($2,085).

Risk score
2
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Johnson Ranch vs San Tan Valley How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
45.7% +62%
San Tan Valley: 28.2%
Average gross rent
$1,994 -4%
San Tan Valley: $2,085
Average HH income
$98,013 +5%
San Tan Valley: $93,642
Poverty rate
5.1% -32%
San Tan Valley: 7.6%
Renter share
17.8% +0%
San Tan Valley: 17.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Johnson Ranch and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 1.9–2.1

Why Johnson Ranch scores 2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts
4.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts
4.7
Rent control risk
46% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.6–2.6 across tracts
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
18% renter households · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts
4.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.9–4.9 across tracts
4.9
Economic stress
5.1% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.8 across tracts
1.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.6–6.1 across tracts
5.2
Risk score comparison

Johnson Ranch vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Johnson Ranch score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Johnson Ranch: 2.02.0Johnson RanchNeighborhoodParent city: 2.62.6Parent cityhost cityState: 2.72.7Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Johnson Ranch

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04021000227 2.1 4,545 27% $2,167
04021000226 1.9 6,586 59% $1,875
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 11

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 17%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 22%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 51%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 10%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Johnson Ranch

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Johnson Ranch

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Johnson Ranch?

Johnson Ranch scores 2/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Johnson Ranch compare to San Tan Valley overall?

Johnson Ranch scores 0.6 points lower than San Tan Valley overall (2.6/10). Renters spend 46% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $1,994 vs $2,085.
Q3

What is the average rent in Johnson Ranch?

Average gross rent in Johnson Ranch is $1,994/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Johnson Ranch residents are renters?

18% of Johnson Ranch households are renter-occupied (vs 18% in San Tan Valley). The neighborhood has 11,131 residents.
Q5

Is Johnson Ranch a high social-vulnerability area?

Johnson Ranch sits in the 11th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Johnson Ranch have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Johnson Ranch is census tract 04021000227 (score 2.1/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 1.9 to 2.1, a spread of 0.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Johnson Ranch for landlords?

Johnson Ranch carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Tan Valley as a whole (2.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Johnson Ranch?

Johnson Ranch has 11,366 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (67.5%), Hispanic / Latino (27.1%), Other / Multiracial (3.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Johnson Ranch

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside San Tan Valley

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Johnson Ranch.

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