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Neighborhood · San Tan Valley, AZ

Copper Basin Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 12,617 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.2/10 · range 3.1–3.5

Copper Basin takes in 2 census tracts of San Tan Valley, AZ and houses 12,617 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3.2/10, in the Lower tier. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 2/10.

15% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. 34% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, ahead of the San Tan Valley rate of 28.2%.

On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.6/10. Average gross rent is $1,761, 16% below the San Tan Valley average of $2,085.

Among the 8 mapped neighborhoods of San Tan Valley, it ranks #3 by risk, the middle third. At 17% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

For a like-for-like read, Whitewing in the San Tans and San Tan Heights score within a fraction of it. Its 2 tracts score within 0.4 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $83,018.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Copper Basin vs San Tan Valley How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
34.1% +21%
San Tan Valley: 28.2%
Average gross rent
$1,761 -16%
San Tan Valley: $2,085
Average HH income
$83,018 -11%
San Tan Valley: $93,642
Poverty rate
8.1% +7%
San Tan Valley: 7.6%
Renter share
17.4% -2%
San Tan Valley: 17.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Copper Basin and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.1–3.5

Why Copper Basin scores 3.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts
4.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts
4.7
Rent control risk
34% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.6–2.6 across tracts
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
17% renter households · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts
4.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.9–4.9 across tracts
4.9
Economic stress
8.1% below poverty line · Range 1.3–3.3 across tracts
2.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.8–4.4 across tracts
4.0
Risk score comparison

Copper Basin vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Copper Basin score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Copper Basin: 3.23.2Copper BasinNeighborhoodParent city: 3.63.6Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Copper Basin

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04021000211 3.5 4,625 25% $1,825
04021000212 3.1 7,992 39% $1,724
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 47

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 57%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 67%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 61%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 17%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Copper Basin

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Copper Basin

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Copper Basin?

Copper Basin scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Copper Basin compare to San Tan Valley overall?

Copper Basin scores 0.4 points lower than San Tan Valley overall (3.6/10). Renters spend 34% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $1,761 vs $2,085.
Q3

What is the average rent in Copper Basin?

Average gross rent in Copper Basin is $1,761/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Copper Basin residents are renters?

17% of Copper Basin households are renter-occupied (vs 18% in San Tan Valley). The neighborhood has 12,617 residents.
Q5

Is Copper Basin a high social-vulnerability area?

Copper Basin sits in the 47th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Copper Basin have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Copper Basin is census tract 04021000211 (score 3.5/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.1 to 3.5, a spread of 0.4 points.
Q7

How safe is Copper Basin for landlords?

Copper Basin carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.2/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Tan Valley as a whole (3.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Copper Basin?

Copper Basin has 13,281 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (55.4%), Hispanic / Latino (31.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (6.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Copper Basin

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside San Tan Valley

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Copper Basin.

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