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Neighborhood · Casa Grande, AZ

Tamaron Eviction Risk: Moderate

4 census tracts · pop 19,718 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.2/10 · range 3.5–5.4

Tamaron takes in 4 census tracts of Casa Grande, AZ, population 19,718. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.2/10, Moderate tier. Against a Casa Grande baseline of 34.4%, 55% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

Severe burden reaches 21%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 3.5 to 5.4, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty, at 2/10.

Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2.2/10. On the softer side is economic stress, at 2.9/10.

That places it #2 of 4 neighborhoods in Casa Grande. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Average gross rent runs $1,395, close to the Casa Grande average. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $71,232.

31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.9 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
4 tracts · population-weighted
Tamaron vs Casa Grande How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
55.0% +60%
Casa Grande: 34.4%
Average gross rent
$1,395 +1%
Casa Grande: $1,386
Average HH income
$71,232 +7%
Casa Grande: $66,354
Poverty rate
11.8% -16%
Casa Grande: 14.1%
Renter share
30.7% +13%
Casa Grande: 27.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Tamaron and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 3.5–5.4

Why Tamaron scores 4.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts
4.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts
4.7
Rent control risk
55% of income on rent · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
31% renter households · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Economic stress
11.8% below poverty line · Range 1.3–5.3 across tracts
2.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.5–2.7 across tracts
2.2
Risk score comparison

Tamaron vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Tamaron score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Tamaron: 4.24.2TamaronNeighborhoodParent city: 4.04.0Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Tamaron?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.9 points from 3.5 to 5.4. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Tamaron

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04021001306 5.4 6,072 53% $1,271
04021001405 4.2 4,398 46% $1,419
04021001309 3.5 5,737 62% $1,437
04021001404 3.5 3,511 58% $1,508
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 77

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 63%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 79%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 69%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 78%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Tamaron

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Tamaron

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Tamaron?

Tamaron scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Tamaron compare to Casa Grande overall?

Tamaron scores 0.2 points higher than Casa Grande overall (4/10). Renters spend 55% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,395 vs $1,386.
Q3

What is the average rent in Tamaron?

Average gross rent in Tamaron is $1,395/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Tamaron residents are renters?

31% of Tamaron households are renter-occupied (vs 27% in Casa Grande). The neighborhood has 19,718 residents.
Q5

Is Tamaron a high social-vulnerability area?

Tamaron sits in the 77th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Tamaron have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Tamaron is census tract 04021001306 (score 5.4/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.5 to 5.4, a spread of 1.9 points.
Q7

How safe is Tamaron for landlords?

Tamaron carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.2/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Casa Grande as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Tamaron?

Tamaron has 20,410 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (45.7%), Hispanic / Latino (41.3%), Other / Multiracial (7.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Tamaron

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Casa Grande

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Tamaron.

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