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Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally

Tamaron Eviction Risk: Moderate , Casa Grande

Tract 04021001405 · Pinal, AZ · pop 4,398 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

With a score of 4.2/10, tract 04021001405 in the Tamaron area of Casa Grande, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,398 residents. The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 2/10.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 17% Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units1,882
Renter share30.4%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate8.4%
Median income$63,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Tamaron
Elevated
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 15 tracts In Casa Grande
Moderate
Within county
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#29 of 95 tracts In Pinal
Elevated
Within state
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#559 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Casa Grande and the region

Centroid at 32.8869, -111.7049 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tamaron scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Casa Grande
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
8.4% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,419 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Casa Grande
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Casa Grande
6.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Casa Grande
6.8

How Tamaron compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tamaron risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.24.2This tracttract 001405Casa Grande: 4.04.0Casa Grandeparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 66

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Tamaron. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tamaron

Running cool, economic stress reads 2.1/10. Cost burden runs 46% here against 37.6% across Pinal County. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10.

12% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. SNAP participation runs 7.0% against 15.2% nationally.

Nationally it ranks #45,786 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 6.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Pinal County average of 3.8 closely.

Average gross rent is $1,419, close to the Casa Grande average. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $63,750. 30% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04021001405

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04021001405?

Census tract 04021001405 in the Tamaron neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04021001405?

Median gross rent is $1,419/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04021001405?

8.4% of residents in tract 04021001405 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,398.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04021001405?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 83th, minority 56th, housing 85th.
Q5

Is tract 04021001405 considered part of Tamaron?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04021001405 fall within Tamaron (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 04021001405 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04021001405 compare to Casa Grande overall?

Tract 04021001405 scores 4.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Casa Grande at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Casa Grande eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Casa Grande

Top eight tracts in Casa Grande ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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