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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Tamaron Eviction Risk: Moderate , Casa Grande

Tract 04021001306 · Pinal, AZ · pop 6,072 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

04021001306 is a census tract in the Tamaron area of Casa Grande, AZ. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 6,072 residents. 53% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Pinal County average of 37.6%.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 17% Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units2,322
Renter share37.1%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate21.3%
Median income$57,451

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Tamaron
Very High
Within parent city
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 15 tracts In Casa Grande
High
Within county
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 95 tracts In Pinal
Very High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#37 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Casa Grande and the region

Centroid at 32.9015, -111.7399 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tamaron scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Casa Grande
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
21.3% poverty · this tract
5.3
Supply constraint
$1,271 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Casa Grande
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Casa Grande
6.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Casa Grande
6.8

How Tamaron compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tamaron risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.45.4This tracttract 001306Casa Grande: 4.04.0Casa Grandeparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Tamaron. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tamaron

The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.5/10. Severe burden reaches 20%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Against the Pinal County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.2/10.

The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. At $1,271 a month, rents run 8% under what the rest of Casa Grande commands. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $57,451.

37% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04021001306

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04021001306?

Census tract 04021001306 in the Tamaron neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04021001306?

Median gross rent is $1,271/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04021001306?

21.3% of residents in tract 04021001306 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,072.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04021001306?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 80th, minority 75th, housing 87th.
Q5

Is tract 04021001306 considered part of Tamaron?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04021001306 fall within Tamaron (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 04021001306 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04021001306 compare to Casa Grande overall?

Tract 04021001306 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Casa Grande at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Casa Grande eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Casa Grande

Top eight tracts in Casa Grande ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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