1 census tracts · pop 4,940 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10
· range 3–3
Castlegate is a one-tract neighborhood of San Tan Valley, AZ, population 4,940. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3/10, Lower tier. Against a San Tan Valley baseline of 28.2%, 80% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,457, 30% below the San Tan Valley average of $2,085. Running cool is supply constraint, at 2.5/10.
On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.6/10. That places it #5 of 8 neighborhoods in San Tan Valley.
At 15% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. Rent takes 18% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Castlegate vs San Tan ValleyHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority55%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport30%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Castlegate
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
11.0%Housing insecurity
7.2%Utility shutoff threat
13.3%Food insecurity
8.2%SNAP enrollment
10.1%No health insurance
27.2%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Castlegate
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Castlegate?
Castlegate scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Castlegate compare to San Tan Valley overall?
Castlegate scores 0.6 points lower than San Tan Valley overall (3.6/10). Renters spend 80% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $1,457 vs $2,085.
Q3
What is the average rent in Castlegate?
Average gross rent in Castlegate is $1,457/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 80% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Castlegate residents are renters?
15% of Castlegate households are renter-occupied (vs 18% in San Tan Valley). The neighborhood has 4,940 residents.
Q5
Is Castlegate a high social-vulnerability area?
Castlegate sits in the 33rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Castlegate for landlords?
Castlegate carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Tan Valley as a whole (3.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Castlegate?
Castlegate has 4,806 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (66%), Hispanic / Latino (21.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (7.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
