Neighborhood · San Tan Valley, AZ

Castlegate Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 4,940 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2/10 · range 2–2

Castlegate is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in San Tan Valley with 1 census tract and a population of 4,940 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 80% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 5% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,457/month sits 30% lower than the San Tan Valley citywide average ($2,085).

Risk score

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Castlegate vs San Tan Valley How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

79.5% +182%

San Tan Valley: 28.2%

Average gross rent

$1,457 -30%

San Tan Valley: $2,085

Average HH income

$99,612 +6%

San Tan Valley: $93,642

Poverty rate

5.8% -23%

San Tan Valley: 7.6%

Renter share

14.5% -19%

San Tan Valley: 17.8%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Castlegate and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 2–2

Why Castlegate scores 2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts

2.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts

4.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts

4.7

Rent control risk

80% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.6–2.6 across tracts

2.6

Tenant organizing strength

15% renter households · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts

4.4

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.9–4.9 across tracts

4.9

Economic stress

5.8% below poverty line · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Risk score comparison

Castlegate vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Castlegate

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
04021000216	2	4,940	80%	$1,457

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 33

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 27%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 51%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 55%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 30%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Castlegate

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

11.0%Housing insecurity
7.2%Utility shutoff threat
13.3%Food insecurity
8.2%SNAP enrollment
10.1%No health insurance
27.2%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Castlegate

What is the eviction-risk score for Castlegate?

Castlegate scores 2/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Castlegate compare to San Tan Valley overall?

Castlegate scores 0.6 points lower than San Tan Valley overall (2.6/10). Renters spend 80% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $1,457 vs $2,085.

What is the average rent in Castlegate?

Average gross rent in Castlegate is $1,457/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 80% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Castlegate residents are renters?

15% of Castlegate households are renter-occupied (vs 18% in San Tan Valley). The neighborhood has 4,940 residents.

Is Castlegate a high social-vulnerability area?

Castlegate sits in the 33rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Castlegate for landlords?

Castlegate carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Tan Valley as a whole (2.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Castlegate?

Castlegate has 4,806 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (66%), Hispanic / Latino (21.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (7.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Castlegate

2 Pecan Creek 2 tracts · pop 8,125 2 Johnson Ranch 2 tracts · pop 11,131 2.2 San Tan Heights 4 tracts · pop 20,142 2.6 Copper Basin 2 tracts · pop 12,617 2.3 Whitewing in the San Tans 2 tracts · pop 7,099 3.3 Arizona Grande 2 tracts · pop 6,373

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside San Tan Valley

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Castlegate.

2 Pecan Creek 2 tracts · pop 8,125 2 Johnson Ranch 2 tracts · pop 11,131 2.2 San Tan Heights 4 tracts · pop 20,142 2.2 Whitewing in the San Tans 2 tracts · pop 7,099 2.3 Pecan Creek South 1 tracts · pop 7,059 2.5 Copper Basin 2 tracts · pop 12,617

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