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Neighborhood · San Tan Valley, AZ

Pecan Creek South Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 7,059 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Pecan Creek South maps to a single census tract in San Tan Valley, AZ and houses 7,059 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3/10, Lower tier. 54% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, far above the San Tan Valley rate of 28.2%.

The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1.9/10. Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.6/10. That places it #5 of 8 neighborhoods in San Tan Valley.

At 28% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. The closest comparables inside the same city are Castlegate and Pecan Creek. Average gross rent runs $2,028, close to the San Tan Valley average.

Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $88,393.

One tract means one number: 3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Pecan Creek South vs San Tan Valley How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
54.2% +92%
San Tan Valley: 28.2%
Average gross rent
$2,028 -3%
San Tan Valley: $2,085
Average HH income
$88,393 -6%
San Tan Valley: $93,642
Poverty rate
7.6% +1%
San Tan Valley: 7.6%
Renter share
27.9% +57%
San Tan Valley: 17.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Pecan Creek South and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3–3

Why Pecan Creek South scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts
4.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts
4.7
Rent control risk
54% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.6–2.6 across tracts
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
28% renter households · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts
4.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.9–4.9 across tracts
4.9
Economic stress
7.6% below poverty line · Range 1.9–1.9 across tracts
1.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Risk score comparison

Pecan Creek South vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Pecan Creek South score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Pecan Creek South: 3.03.0Pecan Creek SouthNeighborhoodParent city: 3.63.6Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Pecan Creek South

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04021000218 3 7,059 54% $2,028
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 44

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 50%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 78%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 63%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 12%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Pecan Creek South

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Pecan Creek South

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Pecan Creek South?

Pecan Creek South scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Pecan Creek South compare to San Tan Valley overall?

Pecan Creek South scores 0.6 points lower than San Tan Valley overall (3.6/10). Renters spend 54% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $2,028 vs $2,085.
Q3

What is the average rent in Pecan Creek South?

Average gross rent in Pecan Creek South is $2,028/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Pecan Creek South residents are renters?

28% of Pecan Creek South households are renter-occupied (vs 18% in San Tan Valley). The neighborhood has 7,059 residents.
Q5

Is Pecan Creek South a high social-vulnerability area?

Pecan Creek South sits in the 44th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Pecan Creek South for landlords?

Pecan Creek South carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Tan Valley as a whole (3.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Pecan Creek South?

Pecan Creek South has 7,349 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (50%), Hispanic / Latino (38.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (5.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Pecan Creek South

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside San Tan Valley

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Pecan Creek South.

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