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Neighborhood · San Tan Valley, AZ

Circle Cross Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 7,243 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.5/10 · range 3.5–3.5

Circle Cross Ranch is a one-tract neighborhood of San Tan Valley, AZ, population 7,243. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3.5/10, Lower tier. Cost burden runs 41% against 28.2% citywide, putting Circle Cross Ranch 12.7% over its own city.

Severe burden reaches 17%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.6/10.

That places it #1 of 8 neighborhoods in San Tan Valley. Only 18% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Copper Basin and Whitewing in the San Tans. Average gross rent runs $2,004, close to the San Tan Valley average. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $89,089.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3.5/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.5
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Circle Cross Ranch vs San Tan Valley How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
40.9% +45%
San Tan Valley: 28.2%
Average gross rent
$2,004 -4%
San Tan Valley: $2,085
Average HH income
$89,089 -5%
San Tan Valley: $93,642
Poverty rate
12.3% +63%
San Tan Valley: 7.6%
Renter share
17.5% -2%
San Tan Valley: 17.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Circle Cross Ranch and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.5–3.5

Why Circle Cross Ranch scores 3.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts
4.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts
4.7
Rent control risk
41% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.6–2.6 across tracts
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
18% renter households · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts
4.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.9–4.9 across tracts
4.9
Economic stress
12.3% below poverty line · Range 3.1–3.1 across tracts
3.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Risk score comparison

Circle Cross Ranch vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Circle Cross Ranch score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Circle Cross Ranch: 3.53.5Circle Cross RanchNeighborhoodParent city: 3.63.6Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Circle Cross Ranch

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04021000224 3.5 7,243 41% $2,004
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 28

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 38%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 37%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 61%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 13%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Circle Cross Ranch

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Circle Cross Ranch

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Circle Cross Ranch?

Circle Cross Ranch scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Circle Cross Ranch compare to San Tan Valley overall?

Circle Cross Ranch scores 0.1 points lower than San Tan Valley overall (3.6/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $2,004 vs $2,085.
Q3

What is the average rent in Circle Cross Ranch?

Average gross rent in Circle Cross Ranch is $2,004/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Circle Cross Ranch residents are renters?

18% of Circle Cross Ranch households are renter-occupied (vs 18% in San Tan Valley). The neighborhood has 7,243 residents.
Q5

Is Circle Cross Ranch a high social-vulnerability area?

Circle Cross Ranch sits in the 28th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Circle Cross Ranch for landlords?

Circle Cross Ranch carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Tan Valley as a whole (3.6/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Circle Cross Ranch?

Circle Cross Ranch has 7,292 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (60.4%), Hispanic / Latino (22.8%), Other / Multiracial (10.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Circle Cross Ranch

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside San Tan Valley

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Circle Cross Ranch.

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