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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

San Tan Heights Eviction Risk: Lower , San Tan Valley

Tract 04021000225 · Pinal, AZ · pop 2,778 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

04021000225 is a census tract in the San Tan Heights area of San Tan Valley, AZ. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,778 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.2/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 8% Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units943
Renter share13.4%
SVI overall0.24
Poverty rate4.9%
Median income$91,929

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In San Tan Heights
Very Low
Within parent city
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#8 of 19 tracts In San Tan Valley
Elevated
Within county
3 th percentile
Rank, 3rd percentileLowHigh
#92 of 95 tracts In Pinal
Very Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Tan Valley and the region

Centroid at 33.1854, -111.5863 · click any tract to drill in

Why San Tan Heights scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Tan Valley
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
4.9% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$2,128 rent vs county FMR
5.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Tan Valley
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Tan Valley
4.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Tan Valley
4.9

How San Tan Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
San Tan Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 000225San Tan Valley: 3.63.6San Tan Valleyparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 24

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within San Tan Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in San Tan Heights

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.2/10. 15% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.4/10. Against the Pinal County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points.

That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 13% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. 39% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Average gross rent is $2,128, close to the San Tan Valley average.

Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $91,929.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 04021000225

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04021000225?

Census tract 04021000225 in the San Tan Heights neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04021000225?

Median gross rent is $2,128/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04021000225?

4.9% of residents in tract 04021000225 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,778.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04021000225?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 24th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 49th, household 56th, minority 64th, housing 1th.
Q5

Is tract 04021000225 considered part of San Tan Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04021000225 fall within San Tan Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 04021000225 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04021000225 compare to San Tan Valley overall?

Tract 04021000225 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of San Tan Valley at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Tan Valley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Tan Valley

Top eight tracts in San Tan Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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