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Census Tract · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally

San Tan Valley Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 04021000217 · Pinal, AZ · pop 6,973 · 65% of tract blocks fall in San Tan Valley

With a score of 3.1/10, tract 04021000217 in San Tan Valley, AZ reads lower for landlord eviction risk. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.7/10.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 12% Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units2,456
Renter share18.1%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate7.0%
Median income$83,714

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#6 of 19 tracts In San Tan Valley
Elevated
Within county
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#67 of 95 tracts In Pinal
Low
Within state
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#1,035 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Moderate
National
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#65,414 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Tan Valley and the region

Centroid at 33.2304, -111.4366 · click any tract to drill in

Why San Tan Valley scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Tan Valley
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
7.0% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,676 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Tan Valley
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Tan Valley
4.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Tan Valley
4.9

How San Tan Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
San Tan Valley risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.13.1This tracttract 000217San Tan Valley: 3.63.6San Tan Valleyparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 41

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in San Tan Valley

On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10. 15% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

At $1,676 a month, rents run 20% under what the rest of San Tan Valley commands. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.4/10.

Cost burden runs 33% here against 37.6% across Pinal County. Against the Pinal County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. That is riskier than roughly 22% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 18% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.7/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $83,714.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04021000217

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04021000217?

Census tract 04021000217 in San Tan Valley scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04021000217?

Median gross rent is $1,676/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04021000217?

7.0% of residents in tract 04021000217 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,973.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04021000217?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 18th, minority 58th, housing 34th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 04021000217 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 04021000217 compare to San Tan Valley overall?

Tract 04021000217 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of San Tan Valley at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Tan Valley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Tan Valley

Top eight tracts in San Tan Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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