Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally

Circle Cross Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower , San Tan Valley

Tract 04021000224 · Pinal, AZ · pop 7,243 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi

Tract 04021000224 sits in the Circle Cross Ranch area of San Tan Valley eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.5/10. It is home to 7,243 residents. The main counterweight is state political climate at 2.2/10.

Risk score

3.5

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 10% Owners 83%

Tract context

Occupied units2,343

Renter share17.5%

SVI overall0.28

Poverty rate12.3%

Median income$89,089

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Tan Valley and the region

Centroid at 33.2003, -111.5736 · click any tract to drill in

Why Circle Cross Ranch scores 3.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Tan Valley

4.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.1

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

12.3% poverty · this tract

3.1

Supply constraint

$2,004 rent vs county FMR

5.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Tan Valley

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Tan Valley

4.4

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Tan Valley

4.9

How Circle Cross Ranch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 28

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

38%Socioeconomic
37%Household composition
61%Racial/ethnic minority
13%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

12.5%Housing insecurity
8.3%Utility-shutoff threat
15.4%Food insecurity
9.8%SNAP enrollment
8.3%Transit barriers
11.1%No health insurance
17.9%Frequent mental distress
29.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Circle Cross Ranch

Severe burden reaches 17%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.4/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.6/10.

Nationally it ranks #57,812 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 18% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.5/10.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. 41% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

It tracks the Pinal County average of 3.8 closely. Average gross rent is $2,004, close to the San Tan Valley average.

Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $89,089.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04021000224

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04021000224?

Census tract 04021000224 in the Circle Cross Ranch neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04021000224?

Median gross rent is $2,004/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04021000224?

12.3% of residents in tract 04021000224 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,243.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04021000224?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 37th, minority 61th, housing 13th.

Is tract 04021000224 considered part of Circle Cross Ranch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04021000224 fall within Circle Cross Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 04021000224 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04021000224 compare to San Tan Valley overall?

Tract 04021000224 scores 3.5/10, right in line with the parent city of San Tan Valley at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Tan Valley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Tan Valley

Top eight tracts in San Tan Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.