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Neighborhood · Ranked #66,742 of 84,120 nationally

Whitewing in the San Tans Eviction Risk: Lower , San Tan Valley

Tract 04021000228 · Pinal, AZ · pop 1,933 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

The Whitewing in the San Tans neighborhood of San Tan Valley anchors census tract 04021000228, which lands at $1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 40th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

92% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 92% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,123 monthly, set against $68,802 in average yearly household income, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 20% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 2% Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units779
Renter share19.8%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate3.8%
Median income$68,802

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Whitewing in the San Tans
Very High
Within parent city
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 19 tracts In San Tan Valley
High
Within county
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#62 of 95 tracts In Pinal
Low
Within state
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#1,285 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Tan Valley and the region

Centroid at 33.1381, -111.5503 · click any tract to drill in

Why Whitewing in the San Tans scores 2.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Tan Valley
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
3.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,123 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Tan Valley
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Tan Valley
4.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Tan Valley
4.9

How Whitewing in the San Tans compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Whitewing in the San Tans risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.52.5This tracttract 000228San Tan Valley: 2.62.6San Tan Valleyparent cityCounty: 3.43.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 11

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Whitewing in the San Tans. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Whitewing in the San Tans

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 5.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from San Tan Valley eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pinal County average of 4.9 and in line with the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 11th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04021000228

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04021000228?

Census tract 04021000228 in the Whitewing in the San Tans neighborhood scores 2.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04021000228?

Median gross rent is $1,123/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 92% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04021000228?

3.8% of residents in tract 04021000228 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,933.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04021000228?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 17th, minority 17th, housing 0th.
Q5

Is tract 04021000228 considered part of Whitewing in the San Tans?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04021000228 fall within Whitewing in the San Tans (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 04021000228 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04021000228 compare to San Tan Valley overall?

Tract 04021000228 scores 2.5/10, right in line with the parent city of San Tan Valley at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Tan Valley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Tan Valley

Top eight tracts in San Tan Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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