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Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally

Whitewing in the San Tans Eviction Risk: Lower , San Tan Valley

Tract 04021000228 · Pinal, AZ · pop 1,933 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

04021000228 is a census tract in the Whitewing in the San Tans area of San Tan Valley, AZ. It scores 3.2/10 for landlords. 92% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 2% Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units779
Renter share19.8%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate3.8%
Median income$68,802

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Whitewing in the San Tans
Very High
Within parent city
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#4 of 19 tracts In San Tan Valley
High
Within county
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#61 of 95 tracts In Pinal
Low
Within state
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#983 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Tan Valley and the region

Centroid at 33.1381, -111.5503 · click any tract to drill in

Why Whitewing in the San Tans scores 3.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Tan Valley
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
3.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,123 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Tan Valley
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Tan Valley
4.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Tan Valley
4.9

How Whitewing in the San Tans compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Whitewing in the San Tans risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.23.2This tracttract 000228San Tan Valley: 3.63.6San Tan Valleyparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 11

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Whitewing in the San Tans. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Whitewing in the San Tans

92% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Pinal County average of 37.6%. Average gross rent is $1,123, 46% below the San Tan Valley average. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.2/10. On the national scale it lands near the 25th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Only 20% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Pinal County average of 3.8 closely.

Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $68,802.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04021000228

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04021000228?

Census tract 04021000228 in the Whitewing in the San Tans neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04021000228?

Median gross rent is $1,123/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 92% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04021000228?

3.8% of residents in tract 04021000228 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,933.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04021000228?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 17th, minority 17th, housing 0th.
Q5

Is tract 04021000228 considered part of Whitewing in the San Tans?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04021000228 fall within Whitewing in the San Tans (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 04021000228 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04021000228 compare to San Tan Valley overall?

Tract 04021000228 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of San Tan Valley at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Tan Valley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Tan Valley

Top eight tracts in San Tan Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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