Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally
Copper Basin Eviction Risk: Lower , San Tan Valley
Tract 04021000211 · Pinal, AZ · pop 4,625 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
Tract 04021000211 sits in the Copper Basin area of San Tan Valley eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.5/10. Population here is 4,625. Cost burden runs 25% here against 37.6% across Pinal County.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units1,669
Renter share24.0%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate13.0%
Median income$93,955
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
52
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across San Tan Valley and the region
Centroid at 33.1544, -111.5391 · click any tract to drill in
Why Copper Basin scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from San Tan Valley
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
13.0% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,825 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Tan Valley
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Tan Valley
4.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Tan Valley
4.9
How Copper Basin compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 50
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 57%Socioeconomic
- 64%Household composition
- 56%Racial/ethnic minority
- 26%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Copper Basin. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.7%Housing insecurity
- 10.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 19.5%Food insecurity
- 13.6%SNAP enrollment
- 10.1%Transit barriers
- 13.0%No health insurance
- 18.9%Frequent mental distress
- 31.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Copper Basin
The main counterweight is state political climate at 2.2/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.4/10.
Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.6/10. Severe burden reaches 9%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Average gross rent is $1,825, 12% below the San Tan Valley average.
On the national scale it lands near the 31st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 24% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Pinal County average of 3.8 closely.
Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $93,955.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04021000211
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04021000211?
Census tract 04021000211 in the Copper Basin neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04021000211?
Median gross rent is $1,825/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04021000211?
13.0% of residents in tract 04021000211 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,625.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04021000211?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 64th, minority 56th, housing 26th.
Q5
Is tract 04021000211 considered part of Copper Basin?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04021000211 fall within Copper Basin (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 04021000211 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04021000211 compare to San Tan Valley overall?
Tract 04021000211 scores 3.5/10, right in line with the parent city of San Tan Valley at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Tan Valley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in San Tan Valley
Top eight tracts in San Tan Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Circle Cross Ranch
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
San Tan Heights
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Whitewing in the San Tans
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Copper Basin
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04021000217
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Pecan Creek
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
San Tan Heights
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
San Tan Heights
3
/ 10 · Low
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