Neighborhood · Ranked #66,742 of 84,120 nationally

San Tan Heights Eviction Risk: Lower , San Tan Valley

Tract 04021000221 · Pinal, AZ · pop 5,420 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Tract 04021000221, home to 5,420 residents in San Tan Heights in San Tan Valley, scores 5.5/10 for landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #34,770 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 51% of renter households, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,181 a month while the average household earns $97,676 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 13% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

2.5

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 7% Owners 86%

Tract context

Occupied units1,706

Renter share13.4%

SVI overall0.32

Poverty rate11.8%

Median income$97,676

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Tan Valley and the region

Centroid at 33.1744, -111.5970 · click any tract to drill in

Why San Tan Heights scores 2.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Tan Valley

4.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.1

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

11.8% poverty · this tract

2.9

Supply constraint

$2,181 rent vs county FMR

6.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Tan Valley

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Tan Valley

4.4

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Tan Valley

4.9

How San Tan Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 32

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

57%Socioeconomic
57%Household composition
64%Racial/ethnic minority
3%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within San Tan Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

12.2%Housing insecurity
8.4%Utility-shutoff threat
15.5%Food insecurity
10.3%SNAP enrollment
8.3%Transit barriers
10.7%No health insurance
17.6%Frequent mental distress
30.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in San Tan Heights

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 6.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from San Tan Valley eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Pinal County average of 4.9 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 12.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 32nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04021000221

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04021000221?

Census tract 04021000221 in the San Tan Heights neighborhood scores 2.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04021000221?

Median gross rent is $2,181/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04021000221?

11.8% of residents in tract 04021000221 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,420.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04021000221?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 57th, minority 64th, housing 3th.

Is tract 04021000221 considered part of San Tan Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04021000221 fall within San Tan Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 04021000221 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04021000221 compare to San Tan Valley overall?

Tract 04021000221 scores 2.5/10, right in line with the parent city of San Tan Valley at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Tan Valley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Tan Valley

Top eight tracts in San Tan Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.