Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally
San Tan Heights Eviction Risk: Lower , San Tan Valley
Tract 04021000221 · Pinal, AZ · pop 5,420 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
With a score of 3.2/10, tract 04021000221 in the San Tan Heights area of San Tan Valley, AZ reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,420 residents. Against Pinal County at 37.6%, 51% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,706
Renter share13.4%
SVI overall0.32
Poverty rate11.8%
Median income$97,676
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
89
th percentile
High
Within county
32
th percentile
Low
Within state
44
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across San Tan Valley and the region
Centroid at 33.1744, -111.5970 · click any tract to drill in
Why San Tan Heights scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from San Tan Valley
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
11.8% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$2,181 rent vs county FMR
6.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Tan Valley
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Tan Valley
4.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Tan Valley
4.9
How San Tan Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 32
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 57%Socioeconomic
- 57%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 3%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within San Tan Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.2%Housing insecurity
- 8.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.5%Food insecurity
- 10.3%SNAP enrollment
- 8.3%Transit barriers
- 10.7%No health insurance
- 17.6%Frequent mental distress
- 30.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in San Tan Heights
The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 2.2/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.4/10.
Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.6/10. That is riskier than roughly 25% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 13% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Social vulnerability reads 3.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Pinal County average of 3.8 closely.
Average gross rent is $2,181, close to the San Tan Valley average. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $97,676.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04021000221
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04021000221?
Census tract 04021000221 in the San Tan Heights neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04021000221?
Median gross rent is $2,181/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04021000221?
11.8% of residents in tract 04021000221 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,420.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04021000221?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 57th, minority 64th, housing 3th.
Q5
Is tract 04021000221 considered part of San Tan Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04021000221 fall within San Tan Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 04021000221 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04021000221 compare to San Tan Valley overall?
Tract 04021000221 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of San Tan Valley at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Tan Valley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in San Tan Valley
Top eight tracts in San Tan Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Copper Basin
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Circle Cross Ranch
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Whitewing in the San Tans
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Copper Basin
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04021000217
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
San Tan Heights
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Johnson Ranch
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Johnson Ranch
3
/ 10 · Low
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