Mission San Jose District Eviction Risk: Elevated

The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1/10. The voucher gap is 24.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

The severe-burden share is 19%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 8.1/10.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 5.4% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint is supply constraint at 7.5/10.

SNAP participation is 4.4% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Average gross rent is $3,351, 14% above the Fremont average of $2,933.

That places it #6 of 6 neighborhoods in Fremont. At 23% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. The closest comparables inside the same city are Curtner and Snoboy.

Against average income of $233,683, annual rent is only 17%, a wide affordability cushion. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

With little internal variation, 6/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.