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Neighborhood · Oakland, CA

Seminary Park Eviction Risk: High

1 census tracts · pop 7,456 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 9.9/10 · range 9.9–9.9

Seminary Park is a one-tract neighborhood of Oakland, CA and houses 7,456 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 9.9/10, placing it in the High tier. Severe burden reaches 47%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Against a Oakland baseline of 30.6%, around two-thirds of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. The strongest single driver of the headline number is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10. Average gross rent is $1,121, 43% below the Oakland average of $1,979.

On the high side is eviction-process difficulty at 9.5/10. Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10.

Food insecurity affects 34.1% of adults, 16.3 points above the national rate. 16.5% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The poverty rate is 19%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

That places it #1 of 45 neighborhoods in Oakland. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.2/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $46,786.

One tract means one number: 9.9/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
9.9
High
1 tracts · population-weighted
Seminary Park vs Oakland How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
69.9% +128%
Oakland: 30.6%
Average gross rent
$1,121 -43%
Oakland: $1,979
Average HH income
$46,786 -52%
Oakland: $97,369
Poverty rate
18.5% +35%
Oakland: 13.7%
Renter share
57.8% +0%
Oakland: 57.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Seminary Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 9.9–9.9

Why Seminary Park scores 9.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.7–9.7 across tracts
9.7
Rent control risk
70% of income on rent · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Tenant organizing strength
58% renter households · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Economic stress
18.5% below poverty line · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts
4.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Risk score comparison

Seminary Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Seminary Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Seminary Park: 9.99.9Seminary ParkNeighborhoodParent city: 9.69.6Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Seminary Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06001408700 9.9 7,456 70% $1,121
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 91

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 87%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 68%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 92%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 89%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Seminary Park

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Seminary Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Seminary Park?

Seminary Park scores 9.9/10 (High tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Seminary Park compare to Oakland overall?

Seminary Park scores 0.3 points higher than Oakland overall (9.6/10). Renters spend 70% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,121 vs $1,979.
Q3

What is the average rent in Seminary Park?

Average gross rent in Seminary Park is $1,121/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Seminary Park residents are renters?

58% of Seminary Park households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Oakland). The neighborhood has 7,456 residents.
Q5

Is Seminary Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Seminary Park sits in the 91st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Seminary Park for landlords?

Seminary Park carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (9.9/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Oakland as a whole (9.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Seminary Park?

Seminary Park has 7,411 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (52.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (29.2%), White (non-Hispanic) (9.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Seminary Park

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Oakland

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Seminary Park.

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