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Census Tract · Ranked #3,733 of 84,120 nationally

Bakersfield Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06029003113 · Kern, CA · pop 5,239

The Moderate-tier score of 5.9/10 for census tract 06029003113 reflects conditions in Bakersfield, California. It lands near the 73rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

50% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,235 monthly, set against $53,750 in average yearly household income, roughly 28% of income at the averages. Renters make up 47% of occupied homes.

Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 23% Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,459
Renter share46.7%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate16.7%
Median income$53,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#39 of 103 tracts In Bakersfield
Elevated
Within county
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#97 of 236 tracts In Kern
Elevated
Within state
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#1,701 of 9,109 tracts In California
High
National
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#3,733 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bakersfield and the region

Centroid at 35.3180, -119.0288 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bakersfield scores 7.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bakersfield
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
16.7% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$1,235 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bakersfield
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bakersfield
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bakersfield
5.5

How Bakersfield compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bakersfield risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.37.3This tracttract 003113Bakersfield: 7.77.7Bakersfieldparent cityCounty: 6.76.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bakersfield

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Kern County average of 6.1 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 27.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 14.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 98th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06029003113

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06029003113?

Census tract 06029003113 in Bakersfield scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06029003113?

Median gross rent is $1,235/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06029003113?

16.7% of residents in tract 06029003113 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,239.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06029003113?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 77th, minority 89th, housing 99th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06029003113 struggle to pay rent?

About 27.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06029003113 compare to Bakersfield overall?

Tract 06029003113 scores 7.3/10, lower than the parent city of Bakersfield at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bakersfield

Top eight tracts in Bakersfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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