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Census Tract · Ranked #12,919 of 84,120 nationally

Novato Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06041104300 · Marin, CA · pop 1,742 · 66% of tract blocks fall in Novato

Tract 06041104300 sits in Novato, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7/10. Severe burden reaches 34%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 5% Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units731
Renter share10.1%
SVI overall0.03
Poverty rate6.1%
Median income$162,371

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 13 tracts In Novato
Low
Within county
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#36 of 62 tracts In Marin
Moderate
Within state
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#5,249 of 9,109 tracts In California
Moderate
National
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#12,919 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Novato and the region

Centroid at 38.0826, -122.5096 · click any tract to drill in

Why Novato scores 7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Novato
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
6.1% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$2,420 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Novato
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Novato
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Novato
6.5

How Novato compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Novato risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.0This tracttract 1043007.5Novatoparent city7.3Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 3

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Novato

The main counterweight is court filing pressure at 1.1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.5/10. Food insecurity runs 6.7% against 17.8% nationally.

Adults with no health insurance runs 3.5% against 11.3% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 85% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 10% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 18% of average household income of $162,371, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for about half of renters.

It tracks the Marin County average of 7.3 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06041104300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06041104300?

Census tract 06041104300 in Novato scores 7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06041104300?

Median gross rent is $2,420/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06041104300?

6.1% of residents in tract 06041104300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,742.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06041104300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 3th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 25th, minority 30th, housing 2th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06041104300 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06041104300 compare to Novato overall?

Tract 06041104300 scores 7/10, lower than the parent city of Novato at 7.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Novato; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Novato

Top eight tracts in Novato ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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