Canal Eviction Risk: High , San Rafael

Food insecurity runs 46.3% against 17.8% nationally. 32% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. This is renter territory: 98% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10.

Annualized rent equals 37% of average household income of $59,201, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Against the Marin County average of 7.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points. On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 1.1/10.

Average gross rent is $1,824, 23% below the San Rafael average. The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Against Marin County at 51.0%, 58% of renters here are cost-burdened.

On the national scale it lands near the 96th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.