Neighborhood · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally

Canal Eviction Risk: Moderate , San Rafael

Tract 06041112100 · Marin, CA · pop 4,352 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Census tract 06041112100 sits in Canal in San Rafael, California eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 5.9/10. On the national scale it ranks #22,708 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 63% of renter households, a severe level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,332 a month against an average household income of $104,040 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 51% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

5.7

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 19% Owners 49%

Tract context

Occupied units1,937

Renter share50.9%

SVI overall0.55

Poverty rate14.7%

Median income$104,040

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Rafael and the region

Centroid at 37.9610, -122.5206 · click any tract to drill in

Why Canal scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Rafael

8.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.3

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

14.7% poverty · this tract

3.7

Supply constraint

$2,332 rent vs county FMR

2.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Rafael

8.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Rafael

9.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Rafael

6.9

How Canal compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 55

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

42%Socioeconomic
51%Household composition
51%Racial/ethnic minority
70%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Canal. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

12.0%Housing insecurity
6.4%Utility-shutoff threat
13.4%Food insecurity
12.2%SNAP enrollment
7.6%Transit barriers
8.8%No health insurance
16.1%Frequent mental distress
28.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Canal

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from San Rafael, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Marin County average of 5.4 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 12.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06041112100

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06041112100?

Census tract 06041112100 in the Canal neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06041112100?

Median gross rent is $2,332/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06041112100?

14.7% of residents in tract 06041112100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,352.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06041112100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 42th, household 51th, minority 51th, housing 70th.

Is tract 06041112100 considered part of Canal?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06041112100 fall within Canal (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06041112100 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06041112100 compare to San Rafael overall?

Tract 06041112100 scores 5.7/10, lower than the parent city of San Rafael at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Rafael; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Rafael

Top eight tracts in San Rafael ranked by composite eviction-risk score.