Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #4,119 of 84,120 nationally
Canal Eviction Risk: High , San Rafael
Tract 06041112100 · Marin, CA · pop 4,352 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Census tract 06041112100 covers part of the Canal area of San Rafael, CA, and scores 9/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,352. Severe burden reaches 32%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
9
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units1,937
Renter share50.9%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate14.7%
Median income$104,040
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
62
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
92
th percentile
Very High
Within state
80
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across San Rafael and the region
Centroid at 37.9610, -122.5206 · click any tract to drill in
Why Canal scores 9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from San Rafael
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
14.7% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$2,332 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Rafael
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Rafael
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Rafael
6.9
How Canal compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 55
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 42%Socioeconomic
- 51%Household composition
- 51%Racial/ethnic minority
- 70%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Canal. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.0%Housing insecurity
- 6.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.4%Food insecurity
- 12.2%SNAP enrollment
- 7.6%Transit barriers
- 8.8%No health insurance
- 16.1%Frequent mental distress
- 28.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Canal
What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9/10. Against Marin County at 51.0%, 63% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 1.1/10. Against the Marin County average of 7.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.7 points. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10.
Nationally it ranks #4,119 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.
Average gross rent is $2,332, close to the San Rafael average. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $104,040.
51% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 06041112100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06041112100?
Census tract 06041112100 in the Canal neighborhood scores 9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06041112100?
Median gross rent is $2,332/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06041112100?
14.7% of residents in tract 06041112100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,352.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06041112100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 42th, household 51th, minority 51th, housing 70th.
Q5
Is tract 06041112100 considered part of Canal?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06041112100 fall within Canal (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06041112100 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06041112100 compare to San Rafael overall?
Tract 06041112100 scores 9/10, higher than the parent city of San Rafael at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Rafael; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in San Rafael
Top eight tracts in San Rafael ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
Canal
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Canal
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Canal
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
06041106001
9.2
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Terra Linda
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Dominican
8.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
Terra Linda
8.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
Dominican
8.6
/ 10 · High
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