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Granite Bay, California eviction risk overview
City brief · 21,673 residents

Granite Bay, CA Eviction Risk: ELEVATED

Placer County · Population 21,673

In 2026
Risk score
5.6
ELEVATED

58th percentile, California.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 — 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.4 Average3.3 Now5.6
10 5 1976 · score 1.4 1977 · score 1.4 1978 · score 1.5 1979 · score 1.6 1980 · score 1.6 1981 · score 1.6 1982 · score 1.7 1983 · score 1.6 1984 · score 1.6 1985 · score 1.6 1986 · score 1.6 1987 · score 1.6 1988 · score 1.8 1989 · score 1.8 1990 · score 1.9 1991 · score 2.0 1992 · score 2.6 1993 · score 2.6 1994 · score 2.6 1995 · score 2.6 1996 · score 2.6 1997 · score 2.6 1998 · score 2.7 1999 · score 2.8 2000 · score 2.7 2001 · score 2.8 2002 · score 2.9 2003 · score 2.9 2004 · score 2.9 2005 · score 2.9 2006 · score 3.0 2007 · score 3.1 2008 · score 3.9 2009 · score 4.0 2010 · score 4.1 2011 · score 4.2 2012 · score 4.2 2013 · score 4.3 2014 · score 4.4 2015 · score 4.5 2016 · score 4.9 2017 · score 5.1 2018 · score 5.3 2019 · score 5.6 2020 · score 6.4 2021 · score 6.5 2022 · score 6.4 2023 · score 6.4 2024 · score 6.2 2025 · score 5.6 2026 · score 5.6

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 6.6 Regional 6.6 State 6.8 Economic 4.7 Supply 6.3 Rent Control 7.1 Eviction 6.6 Tenant 2.8 Housing 5.1 5.6 ELEVATED
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    GOP margin +8.5% (2024)
    6.6
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    6.6
  3. State political climate
    California legislature & governorship
    6.8
  4. Economic stress
    5.0% poverty · 4.6% unemp.
    4.7
  5. Supply constraint
    $2,740 average · 10.0% renters
    6.3
  6. Rent Control risk
    30.8% of income on rent
    7.1
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    280 days filing → judgment
    6.6
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    10.0% renters
    2.8
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    5.1
Geographic context

Risk heat across Granite Bay and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Granite Bay compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Placer County
Elevated
#7 of 21 cities
Rank in county — 70th percentileBottomTop
#7 of 21 cities in Placer County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in California
Moderate
#727 of 1,594 cities
Rank in state — 54th percentileBottomTop
#727 of 1,594 cities in California for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Granite Bay risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Granite Bay: 5.65.6Granite BayThis cityCounty: 5.95.9Countyavg in countyState: 6.66.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.35.3U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 5.6
    / 10 · ELEVATED
    The verdict

    A Elevated-tier market.

    Composite 5.6/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+4.2 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 280d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $2,740/mo. A contested eviction takes 280 days and costs $13,069–$31,617 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 10.0%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 21,673 residents, 10.0% rent. 31% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 5.0% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 6.6
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 6.6 and 6.6 (GOP margin +8.5% (2024)). State climate at 6.8 — mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 6.8
    State politics
    The process

    Long calendar, heavy friction.

    State political climate 6.8/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies — and shows up in process. Eviction process difficulty reads 6.6, housing court bias 5.1, rent-control risk 7.1. The slow part is the calendar, not the motion practice.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +1.6 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 4.7
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 4.7. Supply constraint: 6.3. The numbers behind those: 5.0% poverty, 4.6% unemployment, 31% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Granite Bay sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Sacramento, CA · 281d · ~$25.0k all-in ($89/day) · score 8.0 Sacramento Elk Grove, CA · 245d · ~$24.4k all-in ($100/day) · score 6.1 Elk Grove Roseville, CA · 266d · ~$28.2k all-in ($106/day) · score 6.1 Roseville Arden-Arcade, CA · 279d · ~$26.4k all-in ($94/day) · score 6.8 Arden-Arcade Citrus Heights, CA · 276d · ~$25.3k all-in ($92/day) · score 6.4 Citrus Heights Folsom, CA · 257d · ~$25.6k all-in ($100/day) · score 5.8 Folsom Rancho Cordova, CA · 271d · ~$25.7k all-in ($95/day) · score 6.2 Rancho Cordova Carmichael, CA · 263d · ~$27.2k all-in ($103/day) · score 6.5 Carmichael Rocklin, CA · 272d · ~$24.8k all-in ($91/day) · score 6.0 Rocklin Yuba City, CA · 255d · ~$26.2k all-in ($103/day) · score 5.0 Yuba City Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 3.4 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 3.7 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 4.2 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 4.9 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 8.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 6.8 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 7.8 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 8.2 Seattle Granite Bay
Granite Bay · 280d · ~$22.3k all-in ($80/day) · score 5.6 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Granite Bay, CA

Landlording in Granite Bay, California, presents an elevated-friction market where documented notices and proactive screening matter. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.6/10 (ELEVATED tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above — covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Elevated-friction market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Granite Bay is a city of 21,673 residents where 10.0% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 30.8% of income on rent. At an average rent of $2,740/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing — a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Granite Bay eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 6.6/10 — a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Granite Bay closes 280 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Granite Bay's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 5.1/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Granite Bay runs $13,069 to $31,617 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice — common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 280 days of typical timeline and $2,740/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 2.8/10 in Granite Bay, and the city carries meaningful rent control exposure (7.1/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5–3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks — but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In California, deposit cap and refund window are statute — exceed at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Granite Bay: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a ELEVATED tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one — retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match California's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $31,617 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Granite Bay

Trap · 5.1/10
For landlords, the 5.6/10 score is most actionable when combined with Sacramento County's specific court behavior. Housing-court bias sub-score: 5.1/10. Use proactive screening and documented notices.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

What is the pay-or-quit notice in Granite Bay?

3 days. California law (Cal. Civ. Code § 1947.12) sets a 3-day pay-or-quit notice before any unlawful-detainer filing. If the tenant pays in full inside the cure window, the notice is satisfied and the landlord cannot proceed on that delinquency.

Q2

Security deposit limit for Granite Bay landlords?

1.00 months of rent under California statute. Return is due within 21 days of move-out with an itemized deduction statement. Late or unitemized returns typically expose the landlord to statutory damages — often double the deposit plus the tenant's attorney fees.

Q3

Do I need a reason to terminate a lease in Granite Bay?

Yes. California has statewide just-cause termination protections — the landlord has to fit one of the enumerated grounds (non-payment, lease violation, owner move-in, substantial renovation, withdrawal from rental, etc.). Pure no-cause termination is not available.

Q4

Are Housing Choice Vouchers required in Granite Bay?

Yes. California protects source of income statewide, so refusing Section 8 or other lawful income sources is illegal. You can still apply your standard income-multiple and credit/eviction-history screening — but the income source itself can't be a basis for denial.

Q5

What does an eviction cost in Granite Bay?

Typical all-in: $13,069 to $31,617, covering filing, service, attorney representation, sheriff or constable lockout, and lost rent during the case. Cash-for-keys at $1,000-$3,000 routinely outperforms full-process economics when the tenant will negotiate.

Q6

What's the typical Granite Bay eviction calendar?

Uncontested cases run 35-60 days from notice service to physical lockout. Contested cases — usually involving habitability counterclaims, retaliation defenses, or notice-defect attacks — extend by 60-180 days.

Q7

Can I lock out a tenant in Granite Bay without going to court?

No. Self-help eviction — changing locks, shutting off utilities, removing belongings — is illegal in California and every other state. Statutory damages typically run $1,000-$10,000 per incident plus the tenant's attorney fees. The fact that the tenant hasn't paid in months does not change this; you still go through court.

Continue: California eviction process step-by-step, California cost guide, deposit rules, tenant protections. For the surrounding market, the Sacramento County landlord overview. Methodology: how the 5.6/10 score is built.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 5.6/10 places Granite Bay in the 58th percentile of California cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1–10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976 — a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.