4 census tracts · pop 17,180 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8.8/10
· range 8.5–9.2
Boal is a 4-tract neighborhood of Chula Vista, CA and houses 17,180 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 8.8/10, High tier. Cost burden runs 59% against 35.4% citywide, putting Boal 23.6% over its own city.
33% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Set annual rent against average household income of $67,440 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
Pulling the other way is supply constraint, at 1.6/10. Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 8.1/10.
On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 8.1/10. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 24.9% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.
Food insecurity affects 30.6% of adults, 12.8 points above the national rate. At $1,870 a month, rents sit 16% under what the rest of Chula Vista commands.
The poverty rate is 16%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. That places it #4 of 16 neighborhoods in Chula Vista.
Social vulnerability runs high at 9.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. The 4 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.7 points apart at the extremes.
The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
8.8
High
4 tracts · population-weighted
Boal vs Chula VistaHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority89%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport91%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Boal
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
24.4%Housing insecurity
11.2%Utility shutoff threat
29.8%Food insecurity
27.0%SNAP enrollment
19.6%No health insurance
36.1%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Boal
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Boal?
Boal scores 8.8/10 (High tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Boal compare to Chula Vista overall?
Boal scores 1.0 points higher than Chula Vista overall (7.8/10). Renters spend 59% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $1,870 vs $2,229.
Q3
What is the average rent in Boal?
Average gross rent in Boal is $1,870/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Boal residents are renters?
61% of Boal households are renter-occupied (vs 40% in Chula Vista). The neighborhood has 17,180 residents.
Q5
Is Boal a high social-vulnerability area?
Boal sits in the 95th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Boal have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Boal is census tract 06073012501 (score 9.2/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 8.5 to 9.2, a spread of 0.7 points.
Q7
How safe is Boal for landlords?
Boal carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8.8/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chula Vista as a whole (7.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Boal?
Boal has 16,691 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (78.9%), White (non-Hispanic) (11.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (3.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
