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Neighborhood · San Diego, CA

Serra Mesa Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 11,426 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.8/10 · range 7.4–8.2

Serra Mesa spans 2 census tracts of San Diego, CA, population 11,426. The Eviction Risk Score is 7.8/10, in the Elevated tier. 44% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, markedly above the San Diego rate of 32.4%.

The severe-burden share is 23%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.8/10.

On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 8/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty at 8/10. Average gross rent is $2,603, 13% above the San Diego average of $2,313.

That places it #54 of 89 neighborhoods in San Diego. For a like-for-like read, Skyline and Ocean View Hills score within a fraction of it. Its 2 tracts score within 0.8 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $122,081. 52% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

With little internal variation, 7.8/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
7.8
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Serra Mesa vs San Diego How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
44.4% +37%
San Diego: 32.4%
Average gross rent
$2,603 +13%
San Diego: $2,313
Average HH income
$122,081 +17%
San Diego: $104,321
Poverty rate
7.4% -33%
San Diego: 11.1%
Renter share
52.2% -1%
San Diego: 52.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Serra Mesa and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 7.4–8.2

Why Serra Mesa scores 7.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
44% of income on rent · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
52% renter households · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Economic stress
7.4% below poverty line · Range 1.7–2.0 across tracts
1.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.0–5.1 across tracts
4.1
Risk score comparison

Serra Mesa vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Serra Mesa score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Serra Mesa: 7.87.8Serra MesaNeighborhoodParent city: 8.68.6Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Serra Mesa

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06073009301 8.2 5,555 42% $2,292
06073009306 7.4 5,871 47% $2,897
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 49

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 48%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 31%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 71%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 57%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Serra Mesa

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Serra Mesa

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Serra Mesa?

Serra Mesa scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Serra Mesa compare to San Diego overall?

Serra Mesa scores 0.8 points lower than San Diego overall (8.6/10). Renters spend 44% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $2,603 vs $2,313.
Q3

What is the average rent in Serra Mesa?

Average gross rent in Serra Mesa is $2,603/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Serra Mesa residents are renters?

52% of Serra Mesa households are renter-occupied (vs 53% in San Diego). The neighborhood has 11,426 residents.
Q5

Is Serra Mesa a high social-vulnerability area?

Serra Mesa sits in the 49th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Serra Mesa have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Serra Mesa is census tract 06073009301 (score 8.2/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 7.4 to 8.2, a spread of 0.8 points.
Q7

How safe is Serra Mesa for landlords?

Serra Mesa carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.8/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Diego as a whole (8.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Serra Mesa?

Serra Mesa has 11,050 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (40.5%), Hispanic / Latino (26.9%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (23.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Serra Mesa

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside San Diego

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Serra Mesa.

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