Little Baghdad Eviction Risk: High , El Cajon
Tract 06073015705 · San Diego, CA · pop 3,882 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
With a score of 9.3/10, tract 06073015705 in the Little Baghdad area of El Cajon, CA reads high for landlord eviction risk. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.6/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across El Cajon and the region
Centroid at 32.7913, -116.9509 · click any tract to drill in
Why Little Baghdad scores 9.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Little Baghdad compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 97
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 90%Socioeconomic
- 86%Household composition
- 58%Racial/ethnic minority
- 100%Housing & transportation
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Little Baghdad. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 21.0%Housing insecurity
- 10.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 26.7%Food insecurity
- 28.4%SNAP enrollment
- 13.6%Transit barriers
- 13.4%No health insurance
- 21.7%Frequent mental distress
- 37.5%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Little Baghdad
The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. This is renter territory: 88% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.1/10.
Annualized rent equals 37% of average household income of $60,256, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.4/10. Against the San Diego County average of 7.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.7 points.
SNAP participation runs 28.4% against 15.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Food insecurity runs 26.7% against 17.8% nationally.
Against San Diego County at 52.5%, 57% of renters here are cost-burdened. On the national scale it lands near the 96th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.8/10.
Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 06073015705
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073015705?
What is the average rent in tract 06073015705?
What is the poverty rate in tract 06073015705?
How socially vulnerable is tract 06073015705?
Is tract 06073015705 considered part of Little Baghdad?
What share of households in tract 06073015705 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 06073015705 compare to El Cajon overall?
Highest-risk tracts in El Cajon
Top eight tracts in El Cajon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.