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Neighborhood · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally

Guajome Eviction Risk: Moderate , Oceanside

Tract 06073018525 · San Diego, CA · pop 4,039 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 06073018525 covers part of the Guajome area of Oceanside, CA, and scores 5.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,039 residents. The severe-burden share is 46%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 5% Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units1,401
Renter share14.7%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate3.5%
Median income$159,688

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 5 tracts In Guajome
Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#44 of 44 tracts In Oceanside
Very Low
Within county
10 th percentile
Rank, 10th percentileLowHigh
#665 of 736 tracts In San Diego
Very Low
Within state
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#7,527 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Oceanside and the region

Centroid at 33.2359, -117.2859 · click any tract to drill in

Why Guajome scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Oceanside
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
3.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
7.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oceanside
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oceanside
8.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oceanside
6.2

How Guajome compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Guajome risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.75.7This tracttract 018525Oceanside: 7.17.1Oceansideparent cityCounty: 7.67.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 8

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Guajome. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Guajome

At $3,501 a month, rents run 52% over what the rest of Oceanside commands. Against San Diego County at 52.5%, roughly two in three of renters here are cost-burdened. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.

Against the San Diego County average of 7.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.9 points. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.3/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10.

The voucher gap is 21.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Food insecurity runs 9.8% against 17.8% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 74th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Only 15% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 1.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.8 points cooler.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $159,688.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073018525

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073018525?

Census tract 06073018525 in the Guajome neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06073018525?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073018525?

3.5% of residents in tract 06073018525 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,039.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073018525?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 5th, minority 61th, housing 7th.
Q5

Is tract 06073018525 considered part of Guajome?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073018525 fall within Guajome (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06073018525 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06073018525 compare to Oceanside overall?

Tract 06073018525 scores 5.7/10, lower than the parent city of Oceanside at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oceanside eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Oceanside

Top eight tracts in Oceanside ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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