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Neighborhood · San Marcos, CA

Soltaire Eviction Risk: Elevated

4 census tracts · pop 16,204 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.3/10 · range 6.5–8.4

Soltaire takes in 4 census tracts of San Marcos, CA and houses 16,204 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 7.3/10, in the Elevated tier. Against a San Marcos baseline of 37.0%, 53% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

26% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.4/10. The 4 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 6.5 to 8.4, a 1.9-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address.

On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 8.2/10. Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 2.5/10.

Among the 4 mapped neighborhoods of San Marcos, it ranks #3 by risk, the lower third. For a like-for-like read, Richland and Rancho Carrillo score within a fraction of it.

Social vulnerability runs high at 8.5/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Average gross rent runs $2,210, close to the San Marcos average. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $88,681.

54% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 7.3 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
7.3
Elevated
4 tracts · population-weighted
Soltaire vs San Marcos How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
53.0% +43%
San Marcos: 37.0%
Average gross rent
$2,210 -6%
San Marcos: $2,348
Average HH income
$88,681 -16%
San Marcos: $105,286
Poverty rate
9.6% -6%
San Marcos: 10.2%
Renter share
53.7% +48%
San Marcos: 36.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Soltaire and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 6.5–8.4

Why Soltaire scores 7.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Rent control risk
53% of income on rent · Range 7.8–8.5 across tracts
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.0–6.7 across tracts
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
54% renter households · Range 7.7–9.2 across tracts
8.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.9 across tracts
6.7
Economic stress
9.6% below poverty line · Range 1.0–5.4 across tracts
2.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.4–3.5 across tracts
2.7
Risk score comparison

Soltaire vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Soltaire score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Soltaire: 7.37.3SoltaireNeighborhoodParent city: 7.07.0Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Soltaire?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.9 points from 6.5 to 8.4. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Soltaire

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06073020036 8.4 3,426 59% $1,847
06073020017 8.4 2,693 75% $2,145
06073020037 6.9 4,783 45% $2,241
06073019905 6.5 5,302 45% $2,451
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 84

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 78%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 54%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 77%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 88%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Soltaire

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Soltaire

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Soltaire?

Soltaire scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Soltaire compare to San Marcos overall?

Soltaire scores 0.3 points higher than San Marcos overall (7/10). Renters spend 53% of income on rent vs 37% citywide. Average rent: $2,210 vs $2,348.
Q3

What is the average rent in Soltaire?

Average gross rent in Soltaire is $2,210/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Soltaire residents are renters?

54% of Soltaire households are renter-occupied (vs 36% in San Marcos). The neighborhood has 16,204 residents.
Q5

Is Soltaire a high social-vulnerability area?

Soltaire sits in the 84th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Soltaire have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Soltaire is census tract 06073020036 (score 8.4/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.5 to 8.4, a spread of 1.9 points.
Q7

How safe is Soltaire for landlords?

Soltaire carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.3/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Marcos as a whole (7/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Soltaire?

Soltaire has 16,664 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (52.7%), White (non-Hispanic) (31.1%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (7.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Soltaire

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside San Marcos

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Soltaire.

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