Tanforan Eviction Risk: Elevated , San Bruno

On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 1.4/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.5/10. Cost burden runs 54% here against 44.9% across San Mateo County.

Severe burden reaches 15%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. At $2,163 a month, rents run 22% under what the rest of San Bruno commands.

Against the San Mateo County average of 7.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. That is riskier than roughly 80% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 20% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Social vulnerability reads 4.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $157,105, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.