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Neighborhood · Ranked #65,113 of 84,120 nationally

Tanforan Eviction Risk: Lower , San Bruno

Tract 06081604000 · San Mateo, CA · pop 3,273 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Census tract 06081604000 covers the Tanforan neighborhood of San Bruno, home to 3,273 residents. For landlords it grades 4.3/10, a moderate reading. On the national scale it ranks #68,360 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 10% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a modest level, and 5% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,817 a month while the average household earns $152,448 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 17% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 15% Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units1,203
Renter share16.8%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate3.0%
Median income$152,448

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 9 tracts In Tanforan
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 10 tracts In San Bruno
Very Low
Within county
15 th percentile
Rank, 15th percentileLowHigh
#148 of 173 tracts In San Mateo
Very Low
Within state
4 th percentile
Rank, 4th percentileLowHigh
#8,760 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Bruno and the region

Centroid at 37.6234, -122.4207 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tanforan scores 2.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Bruno
8.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.9
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
3.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,817 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Bruno
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Bruno
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Bruno
5.1

How Tanforan compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tanforan risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.62.6This tracttract 604000San Bruno: 8.38.3San Brunoparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 11

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Tanforan. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tanforan

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 7.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from San Bruno, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the San Mateo County average of 5.1 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is White and Asian and ranks around the 11th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06081604000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06081604000?

Census tract 06081604000 in the Tanforan neighborhood scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06081604000?

Median gross rent is $2,817/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 10% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06081604000?

3.0% of residents in tract 06081604000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,273.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06081604000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 19th, minority 69th, housing 25th.
Q5

Is tract 06081604000 considered part of Tanforan?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06081604000 fall within Tanforan (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06081604000 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06081604000 compare to San Bruno overall?

Tract 06081604000 scores 2.6/10, lower than the parent city of San Bruno at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Bruno; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Bruno

Top eight tracts in San Bruno ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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