Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #3,082 of 84,120 nationally
Colache Town Eviction Risk: High , Watsonville
Tract 06087110301 · Santa Cruz, CA · pop 4,285 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
With a score of 9.3/10, tract 06087110301 in the Colache Town area of Watsonville, CA reads high for landlord eviction risk. SNAP participation runs 40.0% against 15.2% nationally.
Risk score
9.3
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 49%
Stable renters 40%
Owners 11%
Tract context
Occupied units1,205
Renter share88.3%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate20.7%
Median income$60,995
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
77
th percentile
High
Within county
87
th percentile
High
Within state
85
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Watsonville and the region
Centroid at 36.9098, -121.7525 · click any tract to drill in
Why Colache Town scores 9.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Watsonville
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
20.7% poverty · this tract
5.2
Supply constraint
$1,525 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Watsonville
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Watsonville
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Watsonville
7.5
How Colache Town compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 94%Household composition
- 95%Racial/ethnic minority
- 91%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Colache Town. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 32.6%Housing insecurity
- 17.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 42.5%Food insecurity
- 40.0%SNAP enrollment
- 20.7%Transit barriers
- 28.4%No health insurance
- 21.5%Frequent mental distress
- 42.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Colache Town
What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10. It sits 2.5 points above the Santa Cruz County average of 6.8. 88% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. Running cool, court filing pressure reads 1.2/10.
Against Santa Cruz County at 48.5%, 55% of renters here are cost-burdened. Average gross rent is $1,525, 19% below the Watsonville average. The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 17.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. That is riskier than roughly 96% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 06087110301
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06087110301?
Census tract 06087110301 in the Colache Town neighborhood scores 9.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06087110301?
Median gross rent is $1,525/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06087110301?
20.7% of residents in tract 06087110301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,285.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06087110301?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 94th, minority 95th, housing 91th.
Q5
Is tract 06087110301 considered part of Colache Town?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06087110301 fall within Colache Town (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06087110301 struggle to pay rent?
About 32.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06087110301 compare to Watsonville overall?
Tract 06087110301 scores 9.3/10, higher than the parent city of Watsonville at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Watsonville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Watsonville
Top eight tracts in Watsonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
Freedom
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Colache Town
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Colache Town
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Freedom
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Colache Town
8.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
Colache Town
8.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
Freedom
8.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
Colache Town
8.7
/ 10 · High
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