Neighborhood · Ranked #8,653 of 84,120 nationally

Lincoln Manor Association Eviction Risk: Elevated , Santa Rosa

Tract 06097152903 · Sonoma, CA · pop 4,967 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Tract 06097152903 sits in the Lincoln Manor Association area of Santa Rosa eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.9/10. It is home to 4,967 residents. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10.

Risk score

7.9

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 24% Owners 51%

Tract context

Occupied units1,639

Renter share49.4%

SVI overall0.80

Poverty rate11.8%

Median income$91,979

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Santa Rosa and the region

Centroid at 38.4573, -122.7481 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lincoln Manor Association scores 7.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Santa Rosa

7.8

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.6

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

11.8% poverty · this tract

2.9

Supply constraint

$2,117 rent vs county FMR

2.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Santa Rosa

7.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Santa Rosa

8.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Santa Rosa

6.1

How Lincoln Manor Association compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 80

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

62%Socioeconomic
74%Household composition
76%Racial/ethnic minority
87%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lincoln Manor Association. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

20.1%Housing insecurity
10.1%Utility-shutoff threat
24.7%Food insecurity
21.9%SNAP enrollment
12.5%Transit barriers
15.8%No health insurance
18.8%Frequent mental distress
33.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lincoln Manor Association

On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 1.9/10. Severe burden reaches 17%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.8/10.

It sits 1.0 points above the Sonoma County average of 6.9. On the national scale it lands near the 90th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 51% of renters.

Average gross rent is $2,117, close to the Santa Rosa average. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $91,979.

49% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06097152903

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06097152903?

Census tract 06097152903 in the Lincoln Manor Association neighborhood scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06097152903?

Median gross rent is $2,117/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06097152903?

11.8% of residents in tract 06097152903 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,967.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06097152903?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 74th, minority 76th, housing 87th.

Is tract 06097152903 considered part of Lincoln Manor Association?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06097152903 fall within Lincoln Manor Association (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06097152903 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06097152903 compare to Santa Rosa overall?

Tract 06097152903 scores 7.9/10, higher than the parent city of Santa Rosa at 7.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Santa Rosa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Santa Rosa

Top eight tracts in Santa Rosa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.