Neighborhood · Ranked #9,433 of 84,120 nationally

Lincoln Manor Association Eviction Risk: Elevated , Santa Rosa

Tract 06097153001 · Sonoma, CA · pop 7,215 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

With a score of 7.7/10, tract 06097153001 in the Lincoln Manor Association area of Santa Rosa, CA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 7,215. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10.

Risk score

7.7

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 43% Owners 29%

Tract context

Occupied units2,807

Renter share71.3%

SVI overall0.82

Poverty rate8.9%

Median income$90,254

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Santa Rosa and the region

Centroid at 38.4509, -122.7367 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lincoln Manor Association scores 7.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Santa Rosa

7.8

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.6

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

8.9% poverty · this tract

2.2

Supply constraint

$1,872 rent vs county FMR

1.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Santa Rosa

7.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Santa Rosa

8.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Santa Rosa

6.1

How Lincoln Manor Association compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 82

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

79%Socioeconomic
63%Household composition
71%Racial/ethnic minority
83%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lincoln Manor Association. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

17.8%Housing insecurity
9.2%Utility-shutoff threat
20.9%Food insecurity
19.0%SNAP enrollment
11.3%Transit barriers
13.0%No health insurance
19.2%Frequent mental distress
31.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lincoln Manor Association

39% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Sonoma County average of 49.9%. 71% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.8/10.

19% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 1.9/10.

It sits 0.8 points above the Sonoma County average of 6.9. Average gross rent is $1,872, 13% below the Santa Rosa average.

That is riskier than roughly 89% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 8.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $90,254.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06097153001

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06097153001?

Census tract 06097153001 in the Lincoln Manor Association neighborhood scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06097153001?

Median gross rent is $1,872/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06097153001?

8.9% of residents in tract 06097153001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,215.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06097153001?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 63th, minority 71th, housing 83th.

Is tract 06097153001 considered part of Lincoln Manor Association?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06097153001 fall within Lincoln Manor Association (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06097153001 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06097153001 compare to Santa Rosa overall?

Tract 06097153001 scores 7.7/10, higher than the parent city of Santa Rosa at 7.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Santa Rosa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Santa Rosa

Top eight tracts in Santa Rosa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.