Census Tract · Ranked #11,988 of 84,120 nationally

Ceres Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06099002503 · Stanislaus, CA · pop 4,158 · 76% of tract blocks fall in Ceres

Census tract 06099002503 covers part of Ceres, CA, and scores 7.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

7.2

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 17% Owners 63%

Tract context

Occupied units1,203

Renter share36.9%

SVI overall0.97

Poverty rate12.8%

Median income$57,386

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Ceres and the region

Centroid at 37.5850, -120.9580 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ceres scores 7.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Ceres

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.0

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

12.8% poverty · this tract

3.2

Supply constraint

$1,191 rent vs county FMR

2.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Ceres

6.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.4

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Ceres

7.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Ceres

6.5

How Ceres compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

94%Socioeconomic
93%Household composition
83%Racial/ethnic minority
92%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

26.9%Housing insecurity
14.5%Utility-shutoff threat
33.7%Food insecurity
32.8%SNAP enrollment
17.1%Transit barriers
21.6%No health insurance
21.5%Frequent mental distress
42.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ceres

SNAP participation runs 32.8% against 15.2% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,191, 27% below the Ceres average. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 7.6/10.

Housing insecurity runs 26.9% against 14.2% nationally. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.6/10. Cost burden runs 54% here against 47.5% across Stanislaus County.

Against the Stanislaus County average of 6.5, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points. On the national scale it lands near the 86th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.7/10.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $57,386.

37% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06099002503

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06099002503?

Census tract 06099002503 in Ceres scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06099002503?

Median gross rent is $1,191/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06099002503?

12.8% of residents in tract 06099002503 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,158.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06099002503?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 93th, minority 83th, housing 92th.

What share of households in tract 06099002503 struggle to pay rent?

About 26.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06099002503 compare to Ceres overall?

Tract 06099002503 scores 7.2/10, higher than the parent city of Ceres at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ceres; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Ceres

Top eight tracts in Ceres ranked by composite eviction-risk score.