Census Tract · Ranked #14,308 of 84,120 nationally

Modesto Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06099000801 · Stanislaus, CA · pop 6,726

Census tract 06099000801 covers part of Modesto, CA, and scores 6.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score

6.7

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 16% Owners 70%

Tract context

Occupied units2,635

Renter share29.6%

SVI overall0.80

Poverty rate12.5%

Median income$79,406

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Modesto and the region

Centroid at 37.6799, -121.0033 · click any tract to drill in

Why Modesto scores 6.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Modesto

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.0

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

12.5% poverty · this tract

3.1

Supply constraint

$1,480 rent vs county FMR

4.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Modesto

7.9

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Modesto

8.3

Housing court bias

Inherited from Modesto

7.0

How Modesto compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 80

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

74%Socioeconomic
88%Household composition
62%Racial/ethnic minority
63%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.7%Housing insecurity
6.3%Utility-shutoff threat
13.1%Food insecurity
12.4%SNAP enrollment
7.7%Transit barriers
8.7%No health insurance
16.6%Frequent mental distress
33.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Modesto

What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.3/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.9/10.

On the high side, housing-court posture reads 7/10. At $1,480 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Modesto commands. On the national scale it lands near the 83rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 8.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for 46% of renters. It tracks the Stanislaus County average of 6.5 closely.

Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $79,406. 30% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06099000801

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06099000801?

Census tract 06099000801 in Modesto scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06099000801?

Median gross rent is $1,480/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06099000801?

12.5% of residents in tract 06099000801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,726.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06099000801?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 88th, minority 62th, housing 63th.

What share of households in tract 06099000801 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06099000801 compare to Modesto overall?

Tract 06099000801 scores 6.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Modesto at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Modesto eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Modesto

Top eight tracts in Modesto ranked by composite eviction-risk score.