Chaddsford Eviction Risk: Moderate , Aurora

Cost burden runs 73% here against 50.1% across Arapahoe County. Average gross rent is $2,809, 53% above the Aurora average.

Annualized rent equals 41% of average household income of $81,736, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.9/10. The voucher gap is 31.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 8.1/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.3/10. The filing record is not thin: 136 evictions over 5 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2010 at 6.3% of renter households. In a typical year about 4.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 63% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.