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Neighborhood · Ranked #20,889 of 84,120 nationally

Niagra Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Grand Junction

Tract 08077000601 · Mesa County, CO · pop 4,683 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Eviction risk in the Niagra Village neighborhood of Grand Junction centers on tract 08077000601, which scores 5.3/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 4,683 residents. That is riskier than roughly 83% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 54% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 37% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,189 a month while the average household earns $53,381 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 52% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 24% Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units2,223
Renter share51.6%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate24.4%
Median income$53,381

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Niagra Village
Moderate
Within parent city
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 19 tracts In Grand Junction
High
Within county
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#4 of 33 tracts In Mesa County
Very High
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#134 of 1,447 tracts In Colorado
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Grand Junction and the region

Centroid at 39.0882, -108.5338 · click any tract to drill in

Why Niagra Village scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Grand Junction
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
24.4% poverty · this tract
6.1
Supply constraint
$1,189 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Grand Junction
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Grand Junction
7.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Grand Junction
6.2

How Niagra Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Niagra Village risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.35.3This tracttract 000601Grand Junction: 4.34.3Grand Junctionparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.23.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 44Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 3.78%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.0%Peak (2006)
  • 21Filings in 2008 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Niagra Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Niagra Village

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 7.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Grand Junction eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Mesa County average of 5.6 and above the Colorado statewide average of 5.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 85th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 44 eviction filings here over 2 tracked years, with about 3.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.0% of renter households in 2006.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 08077000601

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08077000601?

Census tract 08077000601 in the Niagra Village neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 08077000601?

Median gross rent is $1,189/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 08077000601?

24.4% of residents in tract 08077000601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,683.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 08077000601?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 61th, minority 37th, housing 96th.
Q5

Is tract 08077000601 considered part of Niagra Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08077000601 fall within Niagra Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 08077000601?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 44 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 08077000601 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.78% of renter households, peaking at 4.0% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 08077000601 compare to Grand Junction overall?

Tract 08077000601 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Grand Junction at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Grand Junction eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Grand Junction

Top eight tracts in Grand Junction ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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