Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally
Niagra Village Eviction Risk: Elevated , Grand Junction
Tract 08077000601 · Mesa County, CO · pop 4,683 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
With a score of 6/10, tract 08077000601 in the Niagra Village area of Grand Junction, CO reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,683 residents. Severe burden reaches 37%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units2,223
Renter share51.6%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate24.4%
Median income$53,381
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
83
th percentile
High
Within county
94
th percentile
Very High
Within state
80
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Grand Junction and the region
Centroid at 39.0882, -108.5338 · click any tract to drill in
Why Niagra Village scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Grand Junction
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
24.4% poverty · this tract
6.1
Supply constraint
$1,189 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Grand Junction
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Grand Junction
7.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Grand Junction
6.2
How Niagra Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 85
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 81%Socioeconomic
- 61%Household composition
- 37%Racial/ethnic minority
- 96%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 44Total filings over 2 yrs
- 3.78%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.0%Peak (2006)
- 21Filings in 2008 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Niagra Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Niagra Village
Cost burden runs 54% here against 43.0% across Mesa County. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 7.7/10. Against the Mesa County average of 4.5, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.5 points.
The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 44 filings here across 2 tracked years.
Filings peaked in 2006 at 4.0% of renter households. In a typical year about 3.8% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #18,163 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the CO average is 4.9, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,189, close to the Grand Junction average.
Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $53,381. 52% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 08077000601
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08077000601?
Census tract 08077000601 in the Niagra Village neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 08077000601?
Median gross rent is $1,189/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 08077000601?
24.4% of residents in tract 08077000601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,683.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 08077000601?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 61th, minority 37th, housing 96th.
Q5
Is tract 08077000601 considered part of Niagra Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08077000601 fall within Niagra Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 08077000601?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 44 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 08077000601 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.78% of renter households, peaking at 4.0% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 08077000601 compare to Grand Junction overall?
Tract 08077000601 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Grand Junction at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Grand Junction eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Grand Junction
Top eight tracts in Grand Junction ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CO
North Seventh Street National Historic District
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
Niagra Village
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
Meeks
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
08077001304
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
Niagra Village
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
North Seventh Street National Historic District
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
North Seventh Street National Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · CO
North Seventh Street National Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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