Niagra Village Eviction Risk: Elevated , Grand Junction

Set annual rent against average income of $34,839 and the ratio lands at 37%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. 20% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 7.7/10.

Against the Mesa County average of 4.5, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.5 points. The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 149 filings here across 2 tracked years.

Filings peaked in 2006 at 8.6% of renter households. In a typical year about 7.2% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 78th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CO average is 4.9, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.