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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Avondale Eviction Risk: Lower , Jacksonville

Tract 12031002502 · Duval, FL · pop 3,783 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Tract 12031002502 sits in the Avondale area of Jacksonville eviction risk, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. It is home to 3,783 residents. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 15% Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units1,755
Renter share31.0%
SVI overall0.35
Poverty rate3.9%
Median income$68,359

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 6 tracts In Avondale
Very Low
Within parent city
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#165 of 206 tracts In Jacksonville
Low
Within county
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#160 of 218 tracts In Duval
Low
Within state
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#3,704 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region

Centroid at 30.3133, -81.7226 · click any tract to drill in

Why Avondale scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
3.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,242 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0

How Avondale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Avondale risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0025023.4Jacksonvilleparent city3.7Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 35

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 311Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 5.48%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.8%Peak (2007)
  • 25Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12031002502
Filings dropped 31% over the past 10 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 175Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.3Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.06×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Avondale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Avondale

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Severe burden reaches 15%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 311 filings here across 10 tracked years. At $1,242 a month, rents run 15% under what the rest of Jacksonville commands.

It sits 0.7 points below the Duval County average of 3.7. Filings peaked in 2007 at 6.8% of renter households. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Jacksonville. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 5.5% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12031002502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031002502?

Census tract 12031002502 in the Avondale neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12031002502?

Median gross rent is $1,242/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12031002502?

3.9% of residents in tract 12031002502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,783.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12031002502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 56th, household 24th, minority 33th, housing 25th.
Q5

Is tract 12031002502 considered part of Avondale?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031002502 fall within Avondale (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031002502?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 311 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031002502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.48% of renter households, peaking at 6.8% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12031002502 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.06× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12031002502 compare to Jacksonville overall?

Tract 12031002502 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Jacksonville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 12031002502 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville

Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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