Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
San Pablo Eviction Risk: Moderate , Jacksonville
Tract 12031014342 · Duval, FL · pop 5,069 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
12031014342 is a census tract in the San Pablo area of Jacksonville, FL. It scores 4.2/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,069 residents. 45% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 50%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units2,032
Renter share61.1%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate16.1%
Median income$52,344
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
64
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
66
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
60
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.3115, -81.4520 · click any tract to drill in
Why San Pablo scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
16.1% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,744 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How San Pablo compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 66
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 76%Socioeconomic
- 69%Household composition
- 58%Racial/ethnic minority
- 35%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 703Total filings 2020-21
- 9.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 6.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.44×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within San Pablo. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in San Pablo
82% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Duval County average of 49.2%. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Annualized rent equals 40% of average household income of $52,344, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. Average gross rent is $1,744, 19% above the Jacksonville average.
On the national scale it lands near the 46th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Duval County average of 3.7 closely. 61% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031014342
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031014342?
Census tract 12031014342 in the San Pablo neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031014342?
Median gross rent is $1,744/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 82% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031014342?
16.1% of residents in tract 12031014342 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,069.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031014342?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 69th, minority 58th, housing 35th.
Q5
Is tract 12031014342 considered part of San Pablo?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031014342 fall within San Pablo (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12031014342 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.44× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12031014342 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031014342 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Brentwood
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Mill Creek North
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031017400
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
LaVilla
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031013525
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Brentwood
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031012800
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031014702
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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