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Neighborhood · Jacksonville, FL

Mill Creek North Eviction Risk: Moderate

5 census tracts · pop 30,080 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.3/10 · range 3.7–5.2

Mill Creek North is a white-black neighborhood in Jacksonville with 5 census tracts and a population of 30,080 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.3/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 50% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 25% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,313/month sits 10% lower than the Jacksonville citywide average ($1,465).

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
5 tracts · population-weighted
Mill Creek North vs Jacksonville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
50.0% +52%
Jacksonville: 32.8%
Average gross rent
$1,313 -10%
Jacksonville: $1,465
Average HH income
$62,549 -7%
Jacksonville: $66,981
Poverty rate
16.7% +11%
Jacksonville: 15.0%
Renter share
45.5% +7%
Jacksonville: 42.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Mill Creek North and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 5 tracts span score 3.7–5.2

Why Mill Creek North scores 4.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Rent control risk
50% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
46% renter households · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Economic stress
16.7% below poverty line · Range 2.5–6.2 across tracts
4.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.0–3.6 across tracts
2.6
Risk score comparison

Mill Creek North vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Mill Creek North score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Mill Creek North: 4.34.3Mill Creek NorthNeighborhoodParent city: 2.52.5Parent cityhost cityState: 2.52.5Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Mill Creek North?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.5 points from 3.7 to 5.2. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

5 tracts in Mill Creek North

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12031014604 5.2 5,758 56% $1,485
12031015001 4.7 5,551 52% $1,213
12031014603 4.2 5,645 52% $1,241
12031014902 3.9 8,298 47% $1,372
12031015002 3.7 4,828 43% $1,204
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 65

Pop-weighted across 5 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 63%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 73%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 67%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 44%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Mill Creek North

Aggregated across 5 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 4,167Total filings (sum)
  • 9.83%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.6%Peak year (2014)
  • 6.80%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 3,558Total filings 2020-21
  • 9.3Avg monthly observed
  • 8.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.30×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville, FL).

Frequently asked

About Mill Creek North

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Mill Creek North?

Mill Creek North scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Mill Creek North compare to Jacksonville overall?

Mill Creek North scores 1.8 points higher than Jacksonville overall (2.5/10). Renters spend 50% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,313 vs $1,465.
Q3

What is the average rent in Mill Creek North?

Average gross rent in Mill Creek North is $1,313/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Mill Creek North residents are renters?

46% of Mill Creek North households are renter-occupied (vs 42% in Jacksonville). The neighborhood has 30,080 residents.
Q5

Is Mill Creek North a high social-vulnerability area?

Mill Creek North sits in the 65th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Mill Creek North have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Mill Creek North is census tract 12031014604 (score 5.2/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.7 to 5.2, a spread of 1.5 points.
Q7

How safe is Mill Creek North for landlords?

Mill Creek North carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.3/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Jacksonville as a whole (2.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Mill Creek North?

Mill Creek North has 30,607 residents (White-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (44.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (29.3%), Hispanic / Latino (17.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Mill Creek North

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Jacksonville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Mill Creek North.

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