Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally
Tallulah-North Shore Eviction Risk: Moderate , Jacksonville
Tract 12031000101 · Duval, FL · pop 2,550 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Tract 12031000101 sits in the Tallulah-North Shore area of Jacksonville eviction risk, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.4/10. It is home to 2,550 residents. 63% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Duval County average of 49.2%.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,461
Renter share37.7%
SVI overall0.67
Poverty rate15.7%
Median income$39,369
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
69
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.3758, -81.6397 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tallulah-North Shore scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
15.7% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$929 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How Tallulah-North Shore compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 67
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 68%Socioeconomic
- 65%Household composition
- 57%Racial/ethnic minority
- 56%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 15%Grade C
- 11%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 285Total filings 2020-21
- 3.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.79×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Tallulah-North Shore. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tallulah-North Shore
The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Average gross rent is $929, 37% below the Jacksonville average. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. It sits 0.7 points above the Duval County average of 3.7.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Jacksonville. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 49% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $39,369. 38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031000101
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031000101?
Census tract 12031000101 in the Tallulah-North Shore neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031000101?
Median gross rent is $929/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031000101?
15.7% of residents in tract 12031000101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,550.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031000101?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 65th, minority 57th, housing 56th.
Q5
Is tract 12031000101 considered part of Tallulah-North Shore?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031000101 fall within Tallulah-North Shore (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12031000101 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.79× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12031000101 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031000101 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 12031000101 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 11% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12031014704
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031014800
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031015805
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Tallulah-North Shore
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031012000
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031010800
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031000200
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031012100
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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