Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally
Tallulah-North Shore Eviction Risk: Moderate , Jacksonville
Tract 12031011100 · Duval, FL · pop 3,257 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
For landlords sizing up the Tallulah-North Shore neighborhood of Jacksonville, census tract 12031011100 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.7/10. That is riskier than roughly 66% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 64% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 47% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,230 a month against an average household income of $33,146 a year, roughly 45% of income at the averages. About 50% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units1,357
Renter share50.4%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate45.2%
Median income$33,146
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
92
th percentile
Very High
Within county
93
th percentile
Very High
Within state
97
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.3938, -81.6709 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tallulah-North Shore scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
45.2% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,230 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How Tallulah-North Shore compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 82
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 98%Socioeconomic
- 31%Household composition
- 86%Racial/ethnic minority
- 57%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 504Total filings over 10 yrs
- 13.68%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.7%Peak (2016)
- 68Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 113% over the past 10 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 336Total filings 2020-21
- 4.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.99×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Tallulah-North Shore. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tallulah-North Shore
The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Duval County average of 4.8 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 82nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031011100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031011100?
Census tract 12031011100 in the Tallulah-North Shore neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031011100?
Median gross rent is $1,230/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031011100?
45.2% of residents in tract 12031011100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,257.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031011100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 31th, minority 86th, housing 57th.
Q5
Is tract 12031011100 considered part of Tallulah-North Shore?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031011100 fall within Tallulah-North Shore (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031011100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 504 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031011100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.68% of renter households, peaking at 13.7% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12031011100 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.99× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12031011100 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031011100 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12031011100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
LaVilla
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031002801
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031002802
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
LaVilla
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031011000
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Riverside
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Azalea Terrace
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031002702
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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