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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Tallulah-North Shore Eviction Risk: Moderate , Jacksonville

Tract 12031011100 · Duval, FL · pop 3,257 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Census tract 12031011100 covers part of the Tallulah-North Shore area of Jacksonville, FL, and scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,257. Severe burden reaches 47%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 18% Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units1,357
Renter share50.4%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate45.2%
Median income$33,146

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Tallulah-North Shore
Low
Within parent city
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 206 tracts In Jacksonville
Very High
Within county
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 218 tracts In Duval
Very High
Within state
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#1,236 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region

Centroid at 30.3938, -81.6709 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tallulah-North Shore scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
45.2% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,230 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0

How Tallulah-North Shore compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tallulah-North Shore risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 0111003.4Jacksonvilleparent city3.7Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 82

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 504Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 13.68%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.7%Peak (2016)
  • 68Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12031011100
Filings climbed 113% over the past 10 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 336Total filings 2020-21
  • 4.4Avg monthly (observed)
  • 4.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.99×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Tallulah-North Shore. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tallulah-North Shore

The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 45%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 64% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Duval County average of 49.2%.

Set annual rent against average income of $33,146 and the ratio lands at 45%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Disability prevalence runs 46.0% against 31.5% nationally.

It sits 1.1 points above the Duval County average of 3.7. Average gross rent is $1,230, 16% below the Jacksonville average. The filing record is not thin: 504 evictions over 10 years of observation.

Adults with no health insurance runs 19.1% against 11.3% nationally. The worst year on record was 2016, when 13.7% of renter households were served.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12031011100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031011100?

Census tract 12031011100 in the Tallulah-North Shore neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12031011100?

Median gross rent is $1,230/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12031011100?

45.2% of residents in tract 12031011100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,257.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12031011100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 31th, minority 86th, housing 57th.
Q5

Is tract 12031011100 considered part of Tallulah-North Shore?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031011100 fall within Tallulah-North Shore (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031011100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 504 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031011100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.68% of renter households, peaking at 13.7% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12031011100 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.99× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12031011100 compare to Jacksonville overall?

Tract 12031011100 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 12031011100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville

Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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