Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Tallulah-North Shore Eviction Risk: Moderate , Jacksonville
Tract 12031001401 · Duval, FL · pop 2,891 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
With a score of 4.8/10, tract 12031001401 in the Tallulah-North Shore area of Jacksonville, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,891. Severe burden reaches 32%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units1,375
Renter share57.5%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate26.6%
Median income$31,738
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
95
th percentile
Very High
Within county
81
th percentile
High
Within state
76
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.3801, -81.6652 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tallulah-North Shore scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
26.6% poverty · this tract
6.6
Supply constraint
$1,090 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How Tallulah-North Shore compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 90
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 85%Socioeconomic
- 88%Household composition
- 91%Racial/ethnic minority
- 75%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 5%Grade B
- 64%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 629Total filings 2020-21
- 8.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.80×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Tallulah-North Shore. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tallulah-North Shore
The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Set annual rent against average income of $31,738 and the ratio lands at 41%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.3/10.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. At $1,090 a month, rents run 26% under what the rest of Jacksonville commands. The poverty rate is 27%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Disability prevalence runs 44.9% against 31.5% nationally. It sits 1.1 points above the Duval County average of 3.7.
Cost burden runs 55% here against 49.2% across Duval County. Adults with no health insurance runs 19.8% against 11.3% nationally. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Jacksonville. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
On the national scale it lands near the 58th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031001401
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031001401?
Census tract 12031001401 in the Tallulah-North Shore neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031001401?
Median gross rent is $1,090/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031001401?
26.6% of residents in tract 12031001401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,891.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031001401?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 88th, minority 91th, housing 75th.
Q5
Is tract 12031001401 considered part of Tallulah-North Shore?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031001401 fall within Tallulah-North Shore (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12031001401 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.80× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12031001401 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031001401 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 12031001401 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Brentwood
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
LaVilla
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031013525
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Sans Pareil
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Brentwood
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031012800
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Mill Creek North
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031017400
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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