Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
The Pavillion Eviction Risk: Lower , Jacksonville
Tract 12031014426 · Duval, FL · pop 4,367 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 12031014426 sits in the The Pavillion area of Jacksonville eviction risk, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Population here is 4,367. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 40%
Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units2,218
Renter share65.1%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate2.2%
Median income$76,859
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
10
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.2097, -81.5409 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Pavillion scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
2.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,365 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How The Pavillion compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 22
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 28%Socioeconomic
- 9%Household composition
- 57%Racial/ethnic minority
- 36%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 322Total filings 2020-21
- 4.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.88×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Pavillion. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Pavillion
On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. Cost burden runs 39% here against 49.2% across Duval County. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
This is renter territory: 65% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. It sits 0.7 points below the Duval County average of 3.7.
That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent is $1,365, close to the Jacksonville average.
Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $76,859.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031014426
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031014426?
Census tract 12031014426 in the The Pavillion neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031014426?
Median gross rent is $1,365/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031014426?
2.2% of residents in tract 12031014426 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,367.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031014426?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 28th, household 9th, minority 57th, housing 36th.
Q5
Is tract 12031014426 considered part of The Pavillion?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031014426 fall within The Pavillion (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12031014426 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.88× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12031014426 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031014426 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Jacksonville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Tallulah-North Shore
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Azalea Terrace
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031011200
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Riverside
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031011300
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Belle Rive
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
LaVilla
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Azalea Terrace
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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