Within parent city
91
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Jacksonville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12031010402 · Duval, FL · pop 4,930
Tract 12031010402 sits in Jacksonville eviction risk, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. Population here is 4,930. The severe-burden share is 33%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34%
Stable renters 38%
Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units1,678
Renter share71.8%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate27.4%
Median income$50,449
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
95
th percentile
Very High
Within state
76
th percentile
High
National
58
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.4183, -81.6626 · click any tract to drill in
Why Jacksonville scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
27.4% poverty · this tract
6.9
Supply constraint
$1,236 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How Jacksonville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 78%Socioeconomic
- 96%Household composition
- 72%Racial/ethnic minority
- 76%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,550Total filings over 10 yrs
- 15.83%Avg annual filing rate
- 21.9%Peak (2013)
- 186Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 55% over the past 10 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 915Total filings 2020-21
- 11.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 14.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.80×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Jacksonville
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. This is renter territory: 72% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. The poverty rate is 27%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Against the Duval County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. Average gross rent is $1,236, 16% below the Jacksonville average. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,550 filings here across 10 tracked years.
Filings peaked in 2013 at 21.9% of renter households. In a typical year about 15.8% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #35,669 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031010402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031010402?
Census tract 12031010402 in Jacksonville scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031010402?
Median gross rent is $1,236/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031010402?
27.4% of residents in tract 12031010402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,930.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031010402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 96th, minority 72th, housing 76th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031010402?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,550 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031010402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.83% of renter households, peaking at 21.9% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12031010402 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.80× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12031010402 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031010402 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12031014704
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031012000
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031014800
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031015805
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Tallulah-North Shore
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031012100
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031010800
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031000200
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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