Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #72,539 of 84,120 nationally
Abbey Grove Eviction Risk: Lower , Valrico
Tract 12057013203 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 3,356 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Abbey Grove in Valrico anchors census tract 12057013203, which lands at 4.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 21st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
23% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,766 a month while the average household earns $97,614 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 14% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,113
Renter share14.5%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate5.7%
Median income$97,614
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
43
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
14
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
15
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Valrico and the region
Centroid at 27.9319, -82.2461 · click any tract to drill in
Why Abbey Grove scores 2.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Valrico
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.7% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,766 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Valrico
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Valrico
4.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Valrico
6.3
How Abbey Grove compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 41
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 19%Socioeconomic
- 81%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 43%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 59Total filings over 11 yrs
- 4.90%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.3%Peak (2011)
- 10Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 233% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 36Total filings 2020-21
- 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.65×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Abbey Grove. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Abbey Grove
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 7.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Valrico, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.65x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 59 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 4.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.3% of renter households in 2011.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057013203
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057013203?
Census tract 12057013203 in the Abbey Grove neighborhood scores 2.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057013203?
Median gross rent is $1,766/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057013203?
5.7% of residents in tract 12057013203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,356.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057013203?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 81th, minority 54th, housing 43th.
Q5
Is tract 12057013203 considered part of Abbey Grove?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057013203 fall within Abbey Grove (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057013203?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 59 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057013203 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.90% of renter households, peaking at 6.3% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057013203 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.65× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057013203 compare to Valrico overall?
Tract 12057013203 scores 2.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Valrico at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Valrico; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Valrico
Top eight tracts in Valrico ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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