Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally
Abbey Grove Eviction Risk: Lower , Valrico
Tract 12057013204 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 3,993 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Tract 12057013204 sits in the Abbey Grove area of Valrico, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.8/10. Against Hillsborough County at 51.5%, 36% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units1,847
Renter share25.6%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate8.2%
Median income$61,417
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
40
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
50
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Valrico and the region
Centroid at 27.9301, -82.2328 · click any tract to drill in
Why Abbey Grove scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Valrico
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
8.2% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,571 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Valrico
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Valrico
4.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Valrico
6.3
How Abbey Grove compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 75
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 70%Socioeconomic
- 77%Household composition
- 57%Racial/ethnic minority
- 67%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 172Total filings over 11 yrs
- 5.80%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.4%Peak (2016)
- 31Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 158% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 151Total filings 2020-21
- 2.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.95×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Abbey Grove. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Abbey Grove
The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.9/10. Average gross rent is $1,571, 19% below the Valrico average.
The severe-burden share is 11%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The filing record is not thin: 172 evictions over 11 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2016 at 12.4% of renter households.
In a typical year about 5.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 38% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 7.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Hillsborough County average of 4.2 closely.
Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $61,417.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057013204
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057013204?
Census tract 12057013204 in the Abbey Grove neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057013204?
Median gross rent is $1,571/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057013204?
8.2% of residents in tract 12057013204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,993.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057013204?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 77th, minority 57th, housing 67th.
Q5
Is tract 12057013204 considered part of Abbey Grove?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057013204 fall within Abbey Grove (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057013204?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 172 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057013204 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.80% of renter households, peaking at 12.4% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057013204 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.95× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057013204 compare to Valrico overall?
Tract 12057013204 scores 3.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Valrico at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Valrico; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Valrico
Top eight tracts in Valrico ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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