Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally
Italian Village Eviction Risk: Lower , Coral Gables
Tract 12086007403 ·
Miami-Dade, FL · pop 3,118 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
12086007403 is a census tract in the Italian Village area of Coral Gables, FL. It scores 3.8/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,118 residents. Cost burden runs 41% here against 57.9% across Miami-Dade County.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%Stable renters 32%Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,823
Renter share54.6%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate21.5%
Median income$119,817
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Italian Village
Moderate
Within parent city
77th percentile
#5 of 18 tracts In Coral Gables
High
Within county
33th percentile
#475 of 706 tracts In Miami-Dade
Low
Within state
50th percentile
#2,560 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Coral Gables and the region
Centroid at 25.7290, -80.2653 · click any tract to drill in
Why Italian Village scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Coral Gables
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
21.5% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$3,100 rent vs county FMR
8.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Coral Gables
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Coral Gables
7.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Coral Gables
5.8
How Italian Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 18
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
7%Socioeconomic
25%Household composition
76%Racial/ethnic minority
29%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
0%Grade A
13%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
174Total filings 2020-21
2.4Avg monthly (observed)
1.0Pre-pandemic baseline
2.45×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Italian Village
27% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The voucher gap is 33.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 1.3/10.
Average gross rent is $3,100, 31% above the Coral Gables average. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 8.3/10. The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
It sits 0.8 points below the Miami-Dade County average of 4.6. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Miami. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 38% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 2.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12086007403
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086007403?
Census tract 12086007403 in the Italian Village neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12086007403?
Median gross rent is $3,100/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12086007403?
21.5% of residents in tract 12086007403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,118.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12086007403?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 25th, minority 76th, housing 29th.
Q5
Is tract 12086007403 considered part of Italian Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12086007403 fall within Italian Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12086007403 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.45× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12086007403 compare to Coral Gables overall?
Tract 12086007403 scores 3.8/10, lower than the parent city of Coral Gables at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Coral Gables; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 12086007403 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Coral Gables
Top eight tracts in Coral Gables ranked by composite eviction-risk score.