Within neighborhood
78
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally
Overtown Eviction Risk: Elevated , Miami
Tract 12086003001 · Miami-Dade, FL · pop 2,944 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
12086003001 is a census tract in the Overtown area of Miami, FL. It scores 6/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,944. The severe-burden share is 51%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 59%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 19%
Tract context
Occupied units1,442
Renter share80.9%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate38.3%
Median income$43,776
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
75
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Miami and the region
Centroid at 25.7884, -80.2105 · click any tract to drill in
Why Overtown scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Miami
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
38.3% poverty · this tract
9.6
Supply constraint
$1,161 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Miami
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Miami
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Miami
5.0
How Overtown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 91%Household composition
- 88%Racial/ethnic minority
- 92%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 15%Grade C
- 23%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 67Total filings over 2 yrs
- 4.08%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.6%Peak (2016)
- 34Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 348Total filings 2020-21
- 4.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.75×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Overtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Overtown
The dominant input is economic stress at 9.6/10. Cost burden runs 73% here against 57.9% across Miami-Dade County. The poverty rate is 38%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. At $1,161 a month, rents run 34% under what the rest of Miami commands. This is renter territory: 81% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Adults with no health insurance runs 29.1% against 11.3% nationally. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Against the Miami-Dade County average of 4.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. Court records carry 67 eviction filings across 2 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2016, when 3.6% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Miami. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 4.1% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 78% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12086003001
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086003001?
Census tract 12086003001 in the Overtown neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12086003001?
Median gross rent is $1,161/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12086003001?
38.3% of residents in tract 12086003001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,944.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12086003001?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 91th, minority 88th, housing 92th.
Q5
Is tract 12086003001 considered part of Overtown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12086003001 fall within Overtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12086003001?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 67 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 12086003001 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.08% of renter households, peaking at 3.6% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12086003001 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.75× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12086003001 compare to Miami overall?
Tract 12086003001 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Miami at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Miami eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12086003001 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 23% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Miami
Top eight tracts in Miami ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Little Haiti
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Little Havana
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12086003006
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Oakland Grove
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Little Havana
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12086002403
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Overtown
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12086001501
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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