Neighborhood · Alafaya, FL

Timber Springs Eviction Risk: Lower

3 census tracts · pop 23,918 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 1.7/10 · range 1.5–2.1

Timber Springs is a white-hispanic neighborhood in Alafaya with 3 census tracts and a population of 23,918 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 1.7/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 41% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 27% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,181/month sits 9% higher than the Alafaya citywide average ($1,999).

Risk score

1.7

Lower

3 tracts · population-weighted

Timber Springs vs Alafaya How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

40.6% +33%

Alafaya: 30.6%

Average gross rent

$2,181 +9%

Alafaya: $1,999

Average HH income

$111,070 +13%

Alafaya: $98,289

Poverty rate

5.4% -40%

Alafaya: 9.0%

Renter share

19.3% -46%

Alafaya: 35.6%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Timber Springs and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 1.5–2.1

Why Timber Springs scores 1.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts

6.2

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Rent control risk

41% of income on rent · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts

7.2

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.8–1.8 across tracts

1.8

Tenant organizing strength

19% renter households · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts

7.4

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts

6.0

Economic stress

5.4% below poverty line · Range 1.0–2.1 across tracts

1.4

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.4–7.0 across tracts

6.1

Risk score comparison

Timber Springs vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Timber Springs?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 0.6 points from 1.5 to 2.1. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.

Tracts as heat grid

2.1 1.8 1.5

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

3 tracts in Timber Springs

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
12095016745	2.1	4,563	29%	$2,263
12095016748	1.8	7,529	46%	$2,351
12095016750	1.5	11,826	41%	$2,041

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 19

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 21%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 38%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 68%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 14%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Frequently asked

About Timber Springs

What is the eviction-risk score for Timber Springs?

Timber Springs scores 1.7/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Timber Springs compare to Alafaya overall?

Timber Springs scores 0.8 points lower than Alafaya overall (2.5/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $2,181 vs $1,999.

What is the average rent in Timber Springs?

Average gross rent in Timber Springs is $2,181/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Timber Springs residents are renters?

19% of Timber Springs households are renter-occupied (vs 36% in Alafaya). The neighborhood has 23,918 residents.

Is Timber Springs a high social-vulnerability area?

Timber Springs sits in the 19th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Timber Springs have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Timber Springs is census tract 12095016745 (score 2.1/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 1.5 to 2.1, a spread of 0.6 points.

How safe is Timber Springs for landlords?

Timber Springs carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (1.7/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Alafaya as a whole (2.5/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Timber Springs?

Timber Springs has 24,767 residents (White-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (42%), Hispanic / Latino (34.3%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (10.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Timber Springs

1.6 Stoneybrook East 3 tracts · pop 17,398 2.1 Woodland Lakes 3 tracts · pop 14,642 3.7 Ventura Country Club 3 tracts · pop 19,012 4.6 Countryside 3 tracts · pop 17,457 4.2 Engelwood Park 2 tracts · pop 7,656 4.9 Candlewyck 3 tracts · pop 9,909

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Alafaya

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Timber Springs.

1.6 Stoneybrook East 3 tracts · pop 17,398 2.1 Woodland Lakes 3 tracts · pop 14,642

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