3 census tracts · pop 23,918 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10
· range 3–3
Timber Springs takes in 3 census tracts of Alafaya, FL and houses 23,918 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3/10, in the Lower tier. 27% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.
41% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, markedly above the Alafaya rate of 30.6%. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1.4/10. On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.8/10.
Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 7.4/10. The voucher gap is 11.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.
Average gross rent is $2,181, 9% above the Alafaya average of $1,999. Only 19% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. The closest comparables inside the same city are Stoneybrook East and Woodland Lakes.
Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Its 3 tracts score within 0 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.
Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $111,070.
With little internal variation, 3/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
3
Lower
3 tracts · population-weighted
Timber Springs vs AlafayaHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority68%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport14%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked
About Timber Springs
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Timber Springs?
Timber Springs scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Timber Springs compare to Alafaya overall?
Timber Springs scores 1.0 points lower than Alafaya overall (4/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $2,181 vs $1,999.
Q3
What is the average rent in Timber Springs?
Average gross rent in Timber Springs is $2,181/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Timber Springs residents are renters?
19% of Timber Springs households are renter-occupied (vs 36% in Alafaya). The neighborhood has 23,918 residents.
Q5
Is Timber Springs a high social-vulnerability area?
Timber Springs sits in the 19th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Timber Springs have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Timber Springs is census tract 12095016750 (score 3/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3, a spread of 0 points.
Q7
How safe is Timber Springs for landlords?
Timber Springs carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Alafaya as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Timber Springs?
Timber Springs has 24,767 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (42%), Hispanic / Latino (34.3%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (10.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
