Neighborhood · Ranked #53,699 of 84,120 nationally

Timber Springs Eviction Risk: Lower , Alafaya

Tract 12095016748 · Orange, FL · pop 7,529 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 12095016748 (the Timber Springs neighborhood of Alafaya, Florida) comes in at 5.6/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 62nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

46% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 46% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,351 a month against an average household income of $119,441 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 16% of occupied homes.

Risk score

3.8

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 9% Owners 83%

Tract context

Occupied units2,223

Renter share16.5%

SVI overall0.08

Poverty rate8.6%

Median income$119,441

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Alafaya and the region

Centroid at 28.5311, -81.1583 · click any tract to drill in

Why Timber Springs scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Alafaya

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.2

State political climate

Florida legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

8.6% poverty · this tract

2.1

Supply constraint

$2,351 rent vs county FMR

7.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Alafaya

7.2

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.8

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Alafaya

7.4

Housing court bias

Inherited from Alafaya

6.0

How Timber Springs compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 8

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

24%Socioeconomic
37%Household composition
69%Racial/ethnic minority
0%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Timber Springs. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Timber Springs

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Alafaya eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Orange County average of 5.2 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 8th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12095016748

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12095016748?

Census tract 12095016748 in the Timber Springs neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 12095016748?

Median gross rent is $2,351/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 12095016748?

8.6% of residents in tract 12095016748 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,529.

How socially vulnerable is tract 12095016748?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 37th, minority 69th, housing 0th.

Is tract 12095016748 considered part of Timber Springs?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12095016748 fall within Timber Springs (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 12095016748 compare to Alafaya overall?

Tract 12095016748 scores 3.8/10, lower than the parent city of Alafaya at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Alafaya eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Alafaya

Top eight tracts in Alafaya ranked by composite eviction-risk score.